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The evolution of offshore renminbi trading : 2016 to 2019
Cheung, Yin-Wong; Grimm, Louisa; Westermann, Frank - 2020
We study the evolution of offshore renminbi trading between 2016 and 2019. The diffusion behaviour of offshore renminbi trading during this period is different from the one between 2013 and 2016. The geographical diffusion process displayed in the 2016-2019 period, in addition to the previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012234514
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Liquidity traps and large-scale financial crises
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Damette, Olivier; … - 2018
This paper estimates a nonlinear Threshold-VAR to investigate if a Keynesian liquidity trap due to a speculative motive was in place in the U.S. Great Depression and the recent Great Recession. We find clear evidence in favor of a breakdown of the liquidity effect after an unexpected increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011863616
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The global effects of Covid-19-induced uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Kima, Richard - 2020
We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world … outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world output one year after the uncertainty shock due to Covid-19 to be about 14%. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213164
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Global uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem - 2021
the world output loss that materialized during the great recession would have been 13% lower in absence of GFU shocks. We … after GFU shocks, the larger the world output contraction is. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431805