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Sovereign defaults : the price of haircuts
Cruces, Juan J.; Trebesch, Christoph - 2011
A main puzzle in the sovereign debt literature is that defaults have only minor effects on subsequent borrowing costs and access to credit. This paper comes to a different conclusion. We construct the first complete database of investor losses ("haircuts") in all restructurings with foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009307940
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The global effects of Covid-19-induced uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Kima, Richard - 2020
We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world … outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world output one year after the uncertainty shock due to Covid-19 to be about 14%. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213164
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Global uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem - 2021
the world output loss that materialized during the great recession would have been 13% lower in absence of GFU shocks. We … after GFU shocks, the larger the world output contraction is. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431805