Narrow search
Showing 1 - 3 of 3
Cover Image
The global effects of Covid-19-induced uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Kima, Richard - 2020
We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world … outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world output one year after the uncertainty shock due to Covid-19 to be about 14%. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213164
Cover Image
Liquidity traps and large-scale financial crises
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Damette, Olivier; … - 2018
This paper estimates a nonlinear Threshold-VAR to investigate if a Keynesian liquidity trap due to a speculative motive was in place in the U.S. Great Depression and the recent Great Recession. We find clear evidence in favor of a breakdown of the liquidity effect after an unexpected increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011863616
Cover Image
Global uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem - 2021
the world output loss that materialized during the great recession would have been 13% lower in absence of GFU shocks. We … after GFU shocks, the larger the world output contraction is. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431805