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inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009162091
food market. Both are then included in structural VAR models to examine their effects on domestic food price inflation for … analysis is carried out to assess the effects on core inflation. The results suggest that both global food price mean and … volatility shocks have sizeable effects on food price inflation in all countries and persistent second-round effects on core …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490903
This paper investigates the inflation effects of oil price expectations shocks constructed as functional shocks, i … out to investigate second-round effects on inflation through the inflation expectations channel. These are found to be … shock decomposition exercise show that inflation and inflation expectations are primarily driven by changes in the curvature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496462
The US decision not to ratify the Kyoto Protocol and the recent outcomes of the Bonn and Marrakech Conferences of the Parties drastically reduces the effectiveness of the Kyoto Protocol in controlling GHG emissions. The reason is not only the reduced emission abatement in the US, but also the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409394
This paper analyses the effects of containment measures and monetary and fiscal responses on US financial markets during the Covid-19 pandemic. More specifically, it applies fractional integration methods to analyse their impact on the daily S&P500, the US Treasury Bond Index (USTB), the S&P...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584220