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Post-Thatcher fiscal strategies in the UK : an interpretation

Hughes Hallett, Andrew (contributor) - 2004

Fiscal policy in Britain has changed radically since the Keynesianism of the 1960s and 1970s. After a passive period under monetarism of the 1980s, fiscal policy is said to have adopted a leadership role with long term objectives (low debt, the provision of public services/ investment, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002524201

The impact of containment measures and monetary and fiscal responses on US financial markets during the Covid-19 pandemic

Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; … - 2021

This paper analyses the effects of containment measures and monetary and fiscal responses on US financial markets during the Covid-19 pandemic. More specifically, it applies fractional integration methods to analyse their impact on the daily S&P500, the US Treasury Bond Index (USTB), the S&P...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584220

International portfolio flows and exchange rate volatility for emerging markets

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Ali, Faek Menla; Spagnolo, Fabio - 2015

This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio in.ows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly bilateral data for the US vis-a-vis eight Asian developing and emerging countries (India, Indonesia, South Korea, Pakistan, Hong Kong, Thailand, the Philippines, and Taiwan) over...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387464

Geopolitical risk and cross-border portfolio flows : effects and Channels

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Ali, Faek Menla - 2024

This paper analyses the short- and long-term effects of geopolitical uncertainty on cross-border portfolio flows between the US and 41 developed and emerging economies over the period January 1992-November 2022. We find that geopolitical uncertainty decreases equity inflows from other countries...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015065292

Consumption, wealth, stock and housing returns : evidence from emerging markets

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Sousa, Ricardo M. - 2011

consumption, aggregate wealth, and labour income should predict both stock returns and housing returns. We use quarterly data for … temporarily allow consumption to rise. Regarding housing returns, if housing assets are complementary to stocks, then investors … their consumption. -- consumption ; wealth ; stock returns ; housing returns ; emerging markets …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009307943

The Covid-19 pandemic, policy responses and stock markets in the G20

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Kang, Woo-Young; Spagnolo, Fabio - 2021

This paper analyses the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on stock market returns and their volatility in the case of the G20 countries. In contrast to the existing empirical literature, which typically focuses only on either Covid-19 deaths or lockdown policies, our analysis is based on a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622463

Fiscal sustainability, fiscal reactions, pitfalls and determinants

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022

We examine the sustainability of public finances and its determinants for 19 Eurozone countries from 1995 to 2020. We conclude for the existence of panel cointegration between government revenues and expenditures; primary government balance and one-period lagged public debt-to-GDP ratio; and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162289

Fiscal adjustments and business cycle synchronization

Agnello, Luca; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Sousa, Ricardo M. - 2013

Using a panel of annual data for 20 countries we show that synchronized fiscal consolidation (stimulus) programmes in different countries make their business cycles more closely linked, especially in the case of fiscal adjustments lasting 2 or 3 years. We also find: (i) little evidence of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212384

Budgetary constrained governments : drivers of time varying fiscal sustainability in OECD countries

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2024

We assess the drivers of fiscal sustainability in 20 OECD economies between 1950 and 2019. We find stable long-term relationships between government revenues and expenditures as well as between the primary budget balance and past public debt ratio for the full panel. Performing an expanding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543858

Public finances solvency in the Euro Area : true or false?

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022

We assess public finances solvency for Euro Area countries using quarterly data between 1999Q1 and 2020Q4. Through a country-by-country analysis, the answer to the title question is true. For most countries, (i) the primary budget balance reacts positively to the lagged public debt ratio and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013365375