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Greece's three-act tragedy : a simple model of Grexit vs. staying afloat inside the single currency area
Chen, Yu-Fu; Funke, Michael - 2015
is described using a stochastic regime-switching model; second, the euro area governments’ responses to uncertain … macroeconomic policies in Greece are considered. The model's mechanism and assumptions allow either for a Grexit from the euro area … understand key drivers of the long-winded negotiations between the Syiza government and the euro area governments. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011406792
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Price formation on the EuroMTS platform
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Girardi, Alessandro - 2010
This paper examines the process of price discovery in the MTS system, which builds on the parallel quoting of euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937257
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Fractional integration and cointegration in US financial time series data
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2011
This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The univariate analysis based on fractional integration aims to determine whether the series are I(1) (in which case markets might be efficient) or alternatively I(d) with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011784
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How has the global financial crisis affected syndicated loan terms in emerging markets? : evidence from China
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Lodh, Suman; Nandy, Monomita - 2015
This paper examines the impact of the recent global financial crisis on the cost of debt capital (syndicated loans) in a leading emerging market, namely China, using difference-in-differences and GARCH approaches. Before the crisis China adopted banking reforms allowing entry of foreign banks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518789
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Global and regional financial integration in emerging Asia : evidence from stock markets
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; You, Kefei - 2017
This paper employs a price-based measure of integration, namely stock return differentials between ten emerging Asian economies and the US (as an indicator of global integration), as well as Japan and the Asian region (as two alternative indicators of regional integration), to test for mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654611
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The EMBI in Latin America : fractional integration, non-linearities and breaks
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Carcel, Hector; Gil-Alaña, … - 2015
This paper analyses the main statistical properties of the Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBI), namely long-range dependence or persistence, non-linearities, and structural breaks, in four Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Venezuela). For this purpose it uses a fractional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392612
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Monetary policy rules in emerging countries : is there an augmented nonlinear taylor rule?
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Catik, A. Nazif; Helmi, … - 2016
This paper examines the Taylor rule in five emerging economies, namely Indonesia, Israel, South Korea, Thailand, and Turkey. In particular, it investigates whether monetary policy in these countries can be more accurately described by (i) an augmented rule including the exchange rate, as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011497748
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International portfolio flows and exchange rate volatility for emerging markets
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Ali, Faek Menla; Spagnolo, Fabio - 2015
This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio in.ows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly bilateral data for the US vis-a-vis eight Asian developing and emerging countries (India, Indonesia, South Korea, Pakistan, Hong Kong, Thailand, the Philippines, and Taiwan) over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387464
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The Covid-19 pandemic and the degree of persistence of US stock prices and bond yields
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Poza, Carlos - 2021
This paper analyses the possible effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on the degree of persistence of US monthly stock prices and bond yields using fractional integration techniques. The model is estimated first over the period January 1966-December 2020 and then a recursive approach is taken to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012494826
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The weekend effect : a trading robot and fractional integration analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2014
technique for the estimation of the (fractional) integration parameter d. The results suggest that trading strategies aimed at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010367366