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EU banks rating assignments : is there heterogeneity between new and old member countries?

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Matousek, Roman; Stewart, Chris - 2010

We model EU countries' bank ratings using financial variables and allowing for intercept and slope heterogeneity. Our … aim is to assess whether "old" and "new" EU countries are rated differently and to determine whether "new" ones are … intercepts) are a crucial determinant of ratings. Whilst "new" EU countries typically have lower ratings than "old" ones, after …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974520

Rating assignments : lessons from international banks

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Matousek, Roman; Stewart, Chris - 2009

This paper estimates ordered logit and probit regression models for bank ratings which also include a country index to capture country-specific variation. The empirical findings provide support to the hypothesis that the individual international bank ratings assigned by Fitch Ratings are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832133

On the bilateral trade effects of free trade agreements between the EU-15 and the CEEC-4 countries

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Rault, Christophe; Sova, Robert - 2008

Agreements (FTAs) on trade flows. In this paper we focus on FTAs (also called European agreements) between the European Union (EU … with the EU was signed exceeded trade growth of the control group of countries which did not become members. -- Trade …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003763931

Inflation and inflation uncertainty in the Euro Area

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Onorante, Luca; Paesani, Paolo - 2009

This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the euro area, and investigates the linkages between them in a VAR framework, also allowing for the possible impact of the policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003871923

Does central bank communication really lead to better forecasts of policy decisions? : new evidence based on a Taylor rule model for the ECB

Sturm, Jan-Egbert; Haan, Jakob de - 2009

Nowadays, it is widely believed that greater disclosure and clarity over policy may lead to greater predictability of central bank actions. We examine whether communication by the European Central Bank (ECB) adds information compared to the information provided by a Taylor rule model in which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872830

Does ECB communication help in predicting its interest rate decisions?

Jansen, David-Jan (contributor); Haan, Jakob de (contributor) - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003377200

Price formation on the EuroMTS platform

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Girardi, Alessandro - 2010

This paper examines the process of price discovery in the MTS system, which builds on the parallel quoting of euro-denominated government securities on a number of (relatively large) domestic markets and on a (relatively small) European marketplace (EuroMTS). Using twenty-seven months of daily...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937257

Measuring synchronicity and co-movement of business cycles with an application to the euro area

Mink, Mark (contributor); Jacobs, Jan (contributor); … - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003612369

The importance of being vigilant : has ECB communication influenced Euro area inflation expectations?

Jansen, David-Jan (contributor); Haan, Jakob de (contributor) - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003623777

Income and happiness across Europe : do reference values matter?

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Georgellis, Yannis; … - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003624017