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Armed groups in conflict : competition and political violence in Pakistan

Gassebner, Martin; Schaudt, Paul; Wong, Melvin H. L. - 2020

This paper studies how an increase in the number of armed groups operating within an area affects the amount of organized political violence. We use plausible exogenous variation in the number of armed groups in Pakistan, by exploiting the split of a major group due to the natural death of its...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012231521

Institutions, trade and development : a quantitative analysis

Beverelli, Cosimo; Keck, Alexander; Larch, Mario; … - 2018

We propose and apply methods to quantify the impact of national institutions on international trade and development. We … are able to identify the direct impact of country-specific institutions on international trade within the structural … gravity framework. Our approach naturally addresses the prominent issue of endogenous institutions. The empirical analysis …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800710

Fueling conflict? : (de)escalation and bilateral aid

Bluhm, Richard; Gassebner, Martin; Langlotz, Sarah; … - 2016

This paper studies the effects of bilateral foreign aid on conflict escalation and de-escalation. We make three major …-sided and multifaceted nature of conflict. Second, we develop a novel empirical framework. We propose a dynamic ordered probit … aid on conflict by predicting bilateral aid flows based on electoral outcomes of donor countries that are exogenous to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011547801

Government decentralization as a disincentive for transnational terror? : an empirical analysis

Dreher, Axel; Fischer, Justina A. V. - 2009

Using panel data for a maximum of 109 countries over the years 1976-2000, we empirically analyze the impact of decentralization on the occurrence of transnational terror. Our results show that expenditure decentralization reduces the number of transnational terror events in a country, while...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857142

Lock, stock, and barrel : a comprehensive assessment of the determinants of terror

Gassebner, Martin; Lüchinger, Simon - 2011

We assess the robustness of previous findings on the determinants of terrorism. Using extreme bound analysis, the three most comprehensive terrorism datasets, and focusing on the three most commonly analyzed aspects of terrorist activity, i.e., location, victim, and perpetrator, we re-assess the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009266761

Information transmission and ownership consolidation in aid programs

Dreher, Axel; Marchesi, Silvia - 2013

This paper explores the role of information transmission in explaining donors ́choice between project aid and budget support. Budget support increases the involvement of recipient governments in the decision-making process and can thus be an example of a "delegation-scheme." Conversely, project...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199746

Delayed participation of developing countries to climate agreements : should action in the EU and US be postponed?

Bosetti, Valentina (contributor); Carraro, Carlo (contributor) - 2008

This paper analyses the cost implications for climate policy in developed countries if developing countries are unwilling to adopt measures to reduce their own GHG emissions. First, we assume that a 450 CO2 (550 CO2e) ppmv stabilisation target is to be achieved and that Non Annex1 (NA1)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003779483

When to expect a coup d'état? : an extreme bounds analysis of coup determinants

Gassebner, Martin; Gutmann, Jerg; Voigt, Stefan - 2016

Over the last several decades, both economists and political scientists have shown interest in coups d’état. Numerous studies have been dedicated to understanding the causes of coups. However, model uncertainty still looms large. About one hundred potential determinants of coups have been...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524614

The effect of migration on terror : made at home or imported from abroad?

Dreher, Axel; Gassebner, Martin; Schaudt, Paul - 2017

We investigate whether the stock of foreigners residing in a country leads to a larger number of terrorist attacks on that country. Our instrument for the stock of foreigners relies on the interaction of two sets of variables. Variation across host-origin-dyads results from structural...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646724

Is favoritism a threat to Chinese aid effectiveness? : A subnational analysis of Chinese development projects

Dreher, Axel; Fuchs, Andreas; Hodler, Roland; Parks, Bradley - 2019

Chinese aid comes with few strings attached, allowing recipient country leaders to use it for domestic political purposes. The vulnerability of Chinese aid to political capture has prompted speculation that it may be economically ineffective, or even harmful. We test these claims by estimating...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033099