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Machine learning indices, political institutions, and economic development

Gründler, Klaus; Krieger, Tommy - 2018

creates continuous and dichotomous indices. We use the SVM indices to investigate the effect of democratic institutions on …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011804191

Ethnic inequality and economic growth : evidence from harmonized satellite data

Gründler, Klaus; Link, Andreas - 2024

contemporary economic growth. The negative eﬀect of ethnic inequality is caused by increasing conﬂict and decreasing public goods …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505856

Institutions, trade and development : a quantitative analysis

Beverelli, Cosimo; Keck, Alexander; Larch, Mario; … - 2018

We propose and apply methods to quantify the impact of national institutions on international trade and development. We … are able to identify the direct impact of country-specific institutions on international trade within the structural … gravity framework. Our approach naturally addresses the prominent issue of endogenous institutions. The empirical analysis …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800710

Should we care (more) about data aggregation? : evidence from the democracy-growth-nexus

Gründler, Klaus; Krieger, Tommy - 2019

We compile data for 186 countries (1919 - 2016) and apply different aggregation methods to create new democracy indices. We observe that most of the available aggregation techniques produce indices that are often too favorable for autocratic regimes and too unfavorable for democratic regimes....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011966711

Government decentralization as a disincentive for transnational terror? : an empirical analysis

Dreher, Axel; Fischer, Justina A. V. - 2009

Using panel data for a maximum of 109 countries over the years 1976-2000, we empirically analyze the impact of decentralization on the occurrence of transnational terror. Our results show that expenditure decentralization reduces the number of transnational terror events in a country, while...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857142

Information transmission and ownership consolidation in aid programs

Dreher, Axel; Marchesi, Silvia - 2013

This paper explores the role of information transmission in explaining donors ́choice between project aid and budget support. Budget support increases the involvement of recipient governments in the decision-making process and can thus be an example of a "delegation-scheme." Conversely, project...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199746

Delayed participation of developing countries to climate agreements : should action in the EU and US be postponed?

Bosetti, Valentina (contributor); Carraro, Carlo (contributor) - 2008

This paper analyses the cost implications for climate policy in developed countries if developing countries are unwilling to adopt measures to reduce their own GHG emissions. First, we assume that a 450 CO2 (550 CO2e) ppmv stabilisation target is to be achieved and that Non Annex1 (NA1)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003779483

Political shocks and inflation expectations : evidence from the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine

Dräger, Lena; Gründler, Klaus; Potrafke, Niklas - 2022

How do global political shocks influence individuals' expectations about economic outcomes? We run a unique survey on inflation expectations among 145 tenured economics professors in Germany and exploit the 2022 Russian invasion in Ukraine as a natural experiment to identify the effect of a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013167248

The effect of migration on terror : made at home or imported from abroad?

Dreher, Axel; Gassebner, Martin; Schaudt, Paul - 2017

We investigate whether the stock of foreigners residing in a country leads to a larger number of terrorist attacks on that country. Our instrument for the stock of foreigners relies on the interaction of two sets of variables. Variation across host-origin-dyads results from structural...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646724

Fiscal rules : historical, modern, and sub-national growth effects

Gründler, Klaus; Potrafke, Niklas - 2020

We examine how fiscal rules influence economic growth. The results show that constitutional fiscal rules promoted growth from the Industrial Revolution until World War II (1789-1950) and also increased modern economic growth (1985-2015). To address selection on unobservables, we conduct a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219378