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Institutions, trade and development : a quantitative analysis

Beverelli, Cosimo; Keck, Alexander; Larch, Mario; … - 2018

We propose and apply methods to quantify the impact of national institutions on international trade and development. We … are able to identify the direct impact of country-specific institutions on international trade within the structural … gravity framework. Our approach naturally addresses the prominent issue of endogenous institutions. The empirical analysis …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800710

Unlocking new methods to estimate country-specific trade costs and trade elasticities

Freeman, Rebecca; Larch, Mario; Theodorakopoulos, Angelos; … - 2021

We propose new methods to identify the full impact of country-specific characteristics on bilateral trade flows within the framework of ‘the new quantitative trade model.' We complement theory with a simple two-stage estimating procedure, and offer a proof of concept by quantifying the impact...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012669805

A simple method to quantify the ex-ante effects of "deep" trade liberalization and "hard" trade protection

Larch, Mario; Tan, Shawn W.; Yotov, Yoto - 2021

We propose a simple and flexible econometric approach to quantify ex-ante the "deep" impact of trade liberalization and the "hard" effects of protection with the empirical structural gravity model. Specifically, we argue that the difference between the estimates of border indicator variables for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599928

Gravity-model estimation with time-interval data : revisiting the impact of free trade agreements

Egger, Peter; Larch, Mario; Yotov, Yoto - 2020

We challenge the common practice of estimating gravity equations with time-interval data in order to capture dynamic-adjustment effects to trade-policy changes. Instead, we point to a series of advantages of using consecutive-year data recognizing dynamic-adjustment effects. Our analysis reveals...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287795

On the heterogeneous trade and welfare effects of GATT/WTO membership

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Larch, Mario; Yalçin, Erdal; … - 2020

We build on the latest developments in the structural gravity literature to quantify the partial and general equilibrium effects of GATT/WTO membership on trade and welfare. Using an extensive database covering manufacturing trade for 186 countries over the period 1980-2016, we find that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287974

On the effects of GATT/WTO membership on trade : they are positive and large after all

Larch, Mario; Monteiro, José-Antonio; Piermartini, Roberta - 2019

We capitalize on the latest developments in the empirical structural gravity literature to revisit the question of whether and how much does GATT/WTO membership affect international trade. We are the first to capture the non-discriminatory nature of GATT/WTO commitments by measuring the effects...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030680

Quantifying the impact of economic sanctions on international trade in the energy and mining sectors

Larch, Mario; Shikher, Serge; Syropoulos, Constantinos; … - 2021

Capitalizing on the latest developments in the gravity literature, we utilize two new datasets on sanctions and trade to study the impact of economic sanctions on international trade in the mining sector, which includes oil and natural gas. We demonstrate that the gravity equation is well suited...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012428959