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Macroprudential capital regulation and fiscal balances in the euro area

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Kolb, Benedikt - 2024

in macroprudential capital regulation. Our findings suggest a dichotomy between country groups. In peripheral countries … core countries, the cyclically adjusted primary balance ratio barely reacts to a sudden tightening in capital regulation. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014485633

Loan supply shocks during the financial crisis : evidence for the Euro Area

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2011

This paper employs a panel vector autoregressive model for the member countries of the Euro Area to explore the role of banks during the slump of the real economy that followed the financial crisis. In particular, we seek to quantify the macroeconomic effects of adverse loan supply shocks, which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009012054

Financial frictions and inflation differentials in a monetary union

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2010

This paper employs a stylized New Keynesian DSGE model for a monetary union to analyze whether cyclical inflation differentials can be explained by cross-country differences concerning the characteristics of financial markets. Our results suggest that empirically plausible degrees of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732365

Banking regulation and sovereign default risk : how regulation undermines rules

Hülsewig, Oliver; Steinbach, Armin - 2024

Banking regulation invites banks to gamble when buying government bonds that regulators consider to be risk-free. The … regulation in order to enhance their ﬁscal leeway. We examine an unintended side-eﬀect of banking regulation, namely the zero … area periphery countries to a restrictive macroprudential capital regulation shock. We ﬁnd that, unlike in the US, euro …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576947

The interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the global financial crisis

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2012

This paper uses panel vector autoregressive models and simulations of an estimated DSGE model to explore the reaction of Euro-area banks to the global financial crisis. We focus on their interest-rate setting behavior in response to standard macroeconomic shocks. Our main empirical finding is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009631665

Uncertainty and monetary policy during the great recession

Pellegrino, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Caggiano, Giovanni - 2021

We employ a nonlinear VAR framework and a state-of-the-art identification strategy to document the large response of real activity to a financial uncertainty shock during and in the aftermath of the great recession. We replicate this evidence with an estimated DSGE framework featuring a concept...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495676

Financial uncertainty and real activity : the good, the bad, and the ugly

Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Delrio, Silvia; … - 2020

This paper quantifies the finance uncertainty multiplier (i.e., the magnifying effect of the real impact of uncertainty shocks due to financial frictions) by relying on two historical events related to the US economy, i.e., the large jump in financial uncertainty occurred in October 1987 (which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245103

Liquidity traps and large-scale financial crises

Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Damette, Olivier; … - 2018

This paper estimates a nonlinear Threshold-VAR to investigate if a Keynesian liquidity trap due to a speculative motive was in place in the U.S. Great Depression and the recent Great Recession. We find clear evidence in favor of a breakdown of the liquidity effect after an unexpected increase in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011863616

Domestic and global uncertainty : a survey and some new results

Castelnuovo, Efrem - 2019

This survey features three parts. The first one covers the recent literature on domestic (i.e., country-specific) uncertainty and offers ten main takeaways. The second part reviews contributions on the fast-growing strand of the literature focusing on the macroeconomic effects of uncertainty...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119543

The global effects of Covid-19-induced uncertainty

Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Kima, Richard - 2020

We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world industrial production to simulate the effects of the jump in financial uncertainty observed in correspondence of the Covid-19 outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213164