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What do we know about recent exchange rate models? : in-sample fit and out-of-sample performance evaluated

Cheung, Yin-Wong; Chinn, Menzie David; Pascual, Antonio … - 2003

Previous assessments of nominal exchange rate determination have focused upon a narrow set of models typically of the 1970 s vintage, including monetary and portfolio balance models. In this paper we re-assess the in-sample fit and out-of-sample prediction of a wider set of models that have been...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507659

A tale of two surplus countries : China and Germany

Cheung, Yin-Wong; Steinkamp, Sven; Westermann, Frank - 2019

We analyze current account imbalances through the lens of the two largest surplus countries; China and Germany. We … its current account surplus, Germany’s surplus has continued to increase throughout and after the crisis. Second, for … turned from being undervalued to overvalued, Germany’s currency has erased its level of overvaluation and become undervalued …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024585

Equity price dynamics before and after the introduction of the euro : a note

Cheung, Yin-Wong; Westermann, Frank - 2001

Daily data from the German and U.S. equity markets before and after the introduction of the Euro are used to study the effect of exchange rate regime choices on equity markets. It is found that, since the introduction of the Euro, the volatility and the persistence of the German stock index have...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011397990

A cross-country empirical analysis of international reserves

Cheung, Yin-Wong; Itō, Hiro - 2009

Using data from more than 100 economies for the period of 1975 to 2005, we conduct an extensive empirical analysis of the determinants of international reserve holdings. Four groups of determinants, namely, traditional macro variables, financial variables, institutional variables, and dummy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850507

Exchange rates and Markov switching dynamics

Cheung, Yin-Wong (contributor); … - 2004

This article presents a systematic and extensive empirical study on the presence of Markov switching dynamics in three dollar-based exchange rates. A Monte Carlo approach is adopted to circumvent the statistical inference problem inherent to the test of regime-switching behavior. Two data...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521681

Ordoliberalism, pragmatism and the Eurozone crisis : how the German tradition shaped economic policy in Europe

Feld, Lars P.; Köhler, Ekkehard A.; Nientiedt, Daniel - 2015 - This version: May 18, 2015

extent this contention holds and to what extent Germany pragmatically responded to different crisis phenomena. A proper …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528303

Sustainability of German fiscal policy and public debt : historical and time series evidence for the period 1850-2010

Burret, Heiko T.; Feld, Lars P.; Köhler, Ekkehard A. - 2013

default. Due to a multitude of large scale events in its past, Germany is far from being an exception: In fact, Germany … Germany's public finances against the standard theoretical background using a unique database, retrieved from multiple sources … historical perception of Germany as the poster child of European public finance. Given these corresponding breaks in time series …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009709423

Modeling fiscal sustainability in dynamic macro-panels with heterogeneous effects : evidence from German federal states

Feld, Lars P.; Köhler, Ekkehard A.; Wolfinger, Julia - 2018

In this paper, we extend Henning Bohn's (2008) fiscal sustainability test by allowing for slope heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence (CD). In particular, our econometric approach is the first that allows fiscal reaction functions (FRF) to capture unobserved heterogeneous effects from...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011822075

Exchange rate dynamics : where is the saddle path?

Cheung, Yin-Wong; Gardeazabal, Javier; Vázquez, Jesús - 2004

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402689

Currency traders and exchange rate dynamics : a survey of the U.S. market

Cheung, Yin-Wong; Chinn, Menzie David - 2000

We report findings from a survey of United States foreign exchange traders. Our results indicate that: (i) in recent years electronically-brokered transactions have risen substantially, mostly at the expense of traditional brokers; (ii) the market norm is an important det e rminant of interbank...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781525