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Macroprudential capital regulation and fiscal balances in the euro area

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Kolb, Benedikt - 2024

in macroprudential capital regulation. Our findings suggest a dichotomy between country groups. In peripheral countries … core countries, the cyclically adjusted primary balance ratio barely reacts to a sudden tightening in capital regulation. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014485633

Loan supply shocks during the financial crisis : evidence for the Euro Area

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2011

This paper employs a panel vector autoregressive model for the member countries of the Euro Area to explore the role of banks during the slump of the real economy that followed the financial crisis. In particular, we seek to quantify the macroeconomic effects of adverse loan supply shocks, which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009012054

Financial frictions and inflation differentials in a monetary union

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2010

This paper employs a stylized New Keynesian DSGE model for a monetary union to analyze whether cyclical inflation differentials can be explained by cross-country differences concerning the characteristics of financial markets. Our results suggest that empirically plausible degrees of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732365

Exchange rate regimes and macroeconomic stability in Central and Eastern Europe

De Grauwe, Paul; Schnabl, Gunther - 2004

This paper explores the impact of the exchange rate regime on inflation and output in the Central and Eastern European (CEE) EU candidate countries. The panel estimations for the period between 1994 and 2002 show that de facto measures of exchange rate stability have a better explanatory power...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402440

Banking regulation and sovereign default risk : how regulation undermines rules

Hülsewig, Oliver; Steinbach, Armin - 2024

Banking regulation invites banks to gamble when buying government bonds that regulators consider to be risk-free. The … regulation in order to enhance their ﬁscal leeway. We examine an unintended side-eﬀect of banking regulation, namely the zero … area periphery countries to a restrictive macroprudential capital regulation shock. We ﬁnd that, unlike in the US, euro …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576947

A new two-pillar strategy for the ECB

De Grauwe, Paul; Gros, Daniel - 2009

The ECB has been arguing in the past that since there is no trade-off between price stability and financial stability, the pursuit of price stability is the best a central bank can do to also maintain financial stability. We argue that there is a potential trade-off between price stability and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003888991

Fiscal rules, financial stability and optimal currency areas

De Grauwe, Paul; Foresti, Pasquale - 2015

In this paper we suggest that Eurozone countries face a policy trade-off among: 1) a common rule imposing co-movements in fiscal policy; 2) financial stability; and 3) financial integration. We provide empirical evidence documenting the existence of such a trade-off in the period characterized...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010533078

The interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the global financial crisis

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2012

This paper uses panel vector autoregressive models and simulations of an estimated DSGE model to explore the reaction of Euro-area banks to the global financial crisis. We focus on their interest-rate setting behavior in response to standard macroeconomic shocks. Our main empirical finding is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009631665

Self-fulfilling crises in the Eurozone : an empirical test

De Grauwe, Paul; Ji, Yuemei - 2012

We test the hypothesis that the government bond markets in the Eurozone are more fragile and more susceptible to self-fulfilling liquidity crises than in stand-alone countries. We find evidence that a significant part of the surge in the spreads of the PIGS countries in the Eurozone during...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009540108

A fragile Eurozone in search of a better governance

De Grauwe, Paul - 2011

When entering a monetary union, member-countries change the nature of their sovereign debt in a fundamental way, i.e. they cease to have control over the currency in which their debt is issued. As a result, financial markets can force these countries' sovereigns into default. In this sense...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009127607