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Banking crises and crisis dating : theory and evidence
Boyd, John H.; De Nicolò, Gianni; Loukoianova, Elena - 2010
We formulate a simple theoretical model of a banking industry that we use to identify and construct theory … systemic bank shock (SBS). We argue that disentangling the effects of systemic bank shocks and policy responses is crucial in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003994497
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Forecasting tail risks : presented at CESifo Area Conference on Macro, Money and International Finance, February 2015
De Nicolò, Gianni; Lucchetta, Marcella - 2015
Reliable early warning signals are essential for timely implementation of macroeconomic and macro-prudential policies. This paper presents an early warning system as a set of multi-period forecasts of indicators of tail real and financial (systemic) risks. Forecasts are obtained from: (a)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498601