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Natural disasters and the effect of trade on income : a new panel IV approach

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Gröschl, Jasmin - 2011

Does trade openness cause higher GDP per capita? Since the seminal instrumental variables (IV) estimates of Frankel and Romer [F&R](1999) important doubts have surfaced. Is the correlation spurious and driven by omitted geographical and institutional variables? In this paper, we generalize F&R's...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009240715

Naturally negative : the growth effects of natural disasters

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Gröschl, Jasmin Katrin - 2013

literature does not offer conclusive evidence. Most existing studies use disaster data drawn from damage records of insurance … GDP. We build a comprehensive database of disaster events and their intensities from primary geophysical and … effect of disasters on growth. The worst 5% disaster years come with a growth damage of at least 0.45 percentage points. That …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199740

Quantifying the demand, supply, and welfare effects of natural disasters using monthly trade data

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Gröschl, Jasmin Katrin; Heid, Benedikt - 2020

negligible if the country affected by a disaster is small but sizable for large economies. Similar disasters have heterogeneous …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392193

Shedding light on the spatial diffusion of disasters

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Gröschl, Jasmin Katrin; Sanders, Mark - 2018

Climate research suggests that global warming will lead to more frequent and more extreme natural disasters. Most disasters are local events with effects on local economic activity. Hence, assessing their economic impacts with the help of econometric country-level analysis may lead to biased...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872945

Kyoto and carbon leakage : an empirical analysis of the carbon content of bilateral trade

Aichele, Rahel; Felbermayr, Gabriel - 2011

Has the Kyoto Protocol induced carbon leakage? We conduct the first empirical ex-post evaluation of the Protocol. We derive a theoretical gravity equation for the CO2 content of trade, which accounts for intermediate inputs, both domestic and imported. The structure of our new panel database of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009383458

Transatlantic free trade : the view point of Germany

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Aichele, Rahel - 2014

The proposed Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) between the European Union and the United States of America would be the largest preferential trade agreement in the world. Encompassing almost half of world GDP, it will have strong economic effects on Germany. In this paper, we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010469280

Cutting through the value chain : the long-run effects of decoupling the East from the West

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Mahlkow, Hendrik; Sandkamp, … - 2022

With ever-increasing political tensions between China and Russia on one side and the EU and the US on the other, it only seems a matter of time until protectionist policies cause a decoupling of global value chains. This paper uses a computable general equilibrium trade model calibrated with the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186412

Quantifying the EU-Japan economic partnership agreement

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Kimura, Fukunari; Okubo, Toshihiro; … - 2018

This paper provides a quantitative analysis of the new EU-Japan free trade agreement (FTA), the biggest bilateral deal that both the EU and Japan have concluded so far. It employs a generalized variant of the Eaton-Kortum (2002) model, featuring multiple sectors, input-output linkages, services...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903006

What do we really know about the transatlantic current account?

Braml, Martin T.; Felbermayr, Gabriel - 2019

Do the U.S. have a current account surplus or a deficit with the EU? Since 2009, official sources disagree: The U.S. Department of Commerce claims a consistent U.S. surplus while Eurostat reports the opposite. International transactions are notoriously difficult to measure accurately, but the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012065058

Quantifying Brexit : from ex post to ex ante using structural gravity

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Gröschl, Jasmin Katrin; … - 2018

Exploiting changes in the geography of economic integration in Europe, this paper uses detailed bilateral trade data …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933707