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Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model : an application to the German business cycle
Carstensen, Kai; Heinrich, Markus; Reif, Magnus; … - 2017
for Germany preselected from a broader set using the Elastic Net soft-thresholding rule. The three states represent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646914
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In search of leading indicators of economic activity in Germany
Bandholz, Harm; Funke, Michael - 2001
In this paper we present two new composite leading indicators of economicactivity in Germany estimated using a dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400394