Showing 1 - 8 of 8
-probability extreme events on environmental policy in a continuous-time real options model with "tail risk". In a nutshell, our results … indicate the importance of tail risk and call for foresighted pre-emptive climate policies. -- climate policy ; extreme events …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003994530
end after two years, there is a risk that business investment could tail off at a crucial time, when post-COVID-19 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285588
Common integrated assessment models produce the counterintuitive result that higher risk aversion does not lead to …. The simulations show that aversion to this tipping point risk has little effect. For climate sensitivity of realistic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388571
The quintessence of recent natural science studies is that the 2°C target can only be achieved with massive emission reductions in the next few years. The central twist of this paper is the addition of this limited time to act into a non-perpetual real options framework analysing optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009387263
This paper examines the impact of Knightian uncertainty upon optimal climate policy through the prism of a continuous-time real option modelling framework. We analytically determine optimal intertemporal climate policies under ambiguity. Additionally, numerical simulations are provided to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009230822
The standard literature on working time has modelled the decisions of firms in a deterministic framework in which firms can choose between employment and overtime (given mandated standard hours). Contrary to this approach, we consider the impact of uncertainty and real options on the decision of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409991
In this paper we offer an analysis of the effects of uncertainty about future tax policy on irreversible investment. The main message of the paper is that investment is not much affected by the degreee of tax policy uncertainty. This is true regardless of whether random tax changes are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781588
Against the backdrop of the Greek three-act tragedy, we present a theoretical framework for studying Greece’s recent debt and currency crisis. The model is built on two essential blocks: first, erratic macroeconomic policymaking in Greece is described using a stochastic regime-switching model;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011406792