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Gonzalez-Eiras, Martín; Niepelt, Dirk - 2016

We propose a theory of tax centralization and inter governmental grants in politico-economic equilibrium. The cost of taxation differs across levels of government because voters internalize general equilibrium effects at the central but not at the local level. This renders the degree of tax...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523762

Ideologically-charged terminology : austerity, fiscal consolidation, and sustainable governance

Gründler, Klaus; Potrafke, Niklas - 2019

Scholars have been active in investigating causes and consequences of austerity policies. We examine how economists use the term "austerity" in scientific studies and measure austerity in empirical analyses. The sample includes around 3,500 journal articles published in the top 400 journals...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011997341

Economic and politico-economic equivalence of fiscal policies

Gonzalez-Eiras, Martín; Niepelt, Dirk - 2012

We extend "economic equivalence" results, like the Ricardian equivalence proposition, to the political sphere where policy is chosen sequentially. We derive conditions under which a policy regime (summarizing admissible policy choices in every period) and a state are "politico-economically...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488898

Fiscal and monetary policy interactions : empirical evidence and optimal policy using a structural New Keynesian model

Muscatelli, V. Anton; Tirelli, Patrizio; Trecroci, Carmine - 2003

This paper examines the interaction of monetary and fiscal policies using an estimated New Keynesian dynamic general equilibrium model for the US. In contrast to earlier work using VAR models, we show that the strategic complementarity or substitutability of fiscal and monetary policy depends...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011511042

Structural reforms and income inequality : who benefits from market-oriented reforms?

Gründler, Klaus; Potrafke, Niklas; Wochner, Timo - 2020

We examine how structural reforms relate to income inequality. We employ many indicators of structural reforms and use data for market and net income inequality. The dataset includes up to 135 countries since 1960. The results do not suggest that market-oriented structural reforms were...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154916

Debt maturity without commitment

Niepelt, Dirk - 2008

I analyze how lack of commitment affects the maturity structure of sovereign debt. Governments balance benefits of default induced redistribution and costs due to income losses in the wake of a default. Their choice of short- versus long-term debt affects default and rollover decisions by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003803574

Ageing, government budgets, retirement, and growth

Gonzalez-Eiras, Martín; Niepelt, Dirk - 2011

We analyze the short and long run effects of demographic ageing - increased longevity and reduced fertility - on per-capita growth. The OLG model captures direct effects, working through adjustments in the savings rate, labor supply, and capital deepening, and indirect effects, working through...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009010051

Experts and epidemics

Gründler, Klaus; Potrafke, Niklas - 2020

Do experts adjust their policy recommendations when the facts change? We conduct a large-scale randomized experiment among 1,224 economic experts across 109 countries that includes two treatments. The first treatment is the geographic and temporal variation in the initial spread of Covid-19...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287982

A simple and flexible alternative to the stability and growth pact deficit ceilings : is it at hand?

Muscatelli, V. Anton; Natale, Piergiovanna; Tirelli, … - 2003

There have been widespread criticisms of EMU fiscal institutions. We consider a simple alternative to the deficit … rule. This ensures fiscal discipline and leaves room for stabilisation policies. For the rule to be credible, only small … changes are required to current EMU institutions. Our scheme performs well in comparison with existing reform proposals and is …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509363

Fiscal rules : historical, modern, and sub-national growth effects

Gründler, Klaus; Potrafke, Niklas - 2020

We examine how fiscal rules influence economic growth. The results show that constitutional fiscal rules promoted growth from the Industrial Revolution until World War II (1789-1950) and also increased modern economic growth (1985-2015). To address selection on unobservables, we conduct a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219378