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Macroprudential capital regulation and fiscal balances in the euro area

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Kolb, Benedikt - 2024

in macroprudential capital regulation. Our findings suggest a dichotomy between country groups. In peripheral countries … core countries, the cyclically adjusted primary balance ratio barely reacts to a sudden tightening in capital regulation. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014485633

Loan supply shocks during the financial crisis : evidence for the Euro Area

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2011

This paper employs a panel vector autoregressive model for the member countries of the Euro Area to explore the role of banks during the slump of the real economy that followed the financial crisis. In particular, we seek to quantify the macroeconomic effects of adverse loan supply shocks, which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009012054

Leaning against the wind and crisis risk

Schularick, Moritz; Ter Steege, Lucas; Ward, Felix - 2020

Can central banks defuse rising stability risks in financial booms by leaning against the wind with higher interest rates? This paper studies the state-dependent effects of monetary policy on financial stability. Based on the near-universe of advanced economy financial cycles since the 19th...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012260596

Financial frictions and inflation differentials in a monetary union

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2010

This paper employs a stylized New Keynesian DSGE model for a monetary union to analyze whether cyclical inflation differentials can be explained by cross-country differences concerning the characteristics of financial markets. Our results suggest that empirically plausible degrees of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732365

Banking regulation and sovereign default risk : how regulation undermines rules

Hülsewig, Oliver; Steinbach, Armin - 2024

Banking regulation invites banks to gamble when buying government bonds that regulators consider to be risk-free. The … regulation in order to enhance their ﬁscal leeway. We examine an unintended side-eﬀect of banking regulation, namely the zero … area periphery countries to a restrictive macroprudential capital regulation shock. We ﬁnd that, unlike in the US, euro …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576947

Going to extremes : politics after financial crisis, 1870 - 2014

Funke, Manuel; Schularick, Moritz; Trebesch, Christoph - 2015

Partisan conflict and policy uncertainty are frequently invoked as factors contributing to slow post-crisis recoveries. Recent events in Europe provide ample evidence that the political aftershocks of financial crises can be severe. In this paper we study the political fall-out from systemic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349087

Central bank balance sheets : expansion and reduction since 1900

Ferguson, Niall; Schaab, Andreas; Schularick, Moritz - 2015

In this paper we study the evolution of central banks' balance sheets in 12 advanced economies since 1900. We find that balance sheet size in most developed countries has fluctuated within rather clearly defined bands relative to output. Historically, clusters of big expansions and contractions...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528949

Sovereigns versus banks : credit, crises, and consequences

Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2013

Two separate narratives have emerged in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. One speaks of private financial excess and the key role of the banking system in leveraging and deleveraging the economy. The other emphasizes the public sector balance sheet over the private and worries about the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199757

The interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the global financial crisis : conference paper

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2013

This paper uses panel vector autoregressive models and simulations of an estimated DSGE model to explore the reaction of Euro area banks to the global financial crisis. We focus on their interest rate setting behavior in response to standard macroeconomic shocks. Our main empirical finding is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338974

Betting the house

Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2014

Is there a link between loose monetary conditions, credit growth, house price booms, and financial instability? This paper analyzes the role of interest rates and credit in driving house price booms and busts with data spanning 140 years of modern economic history in the advanced economies. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010468583