Similar Search Results

Conditional volatility and correlations of weekly returns and the VaR analysis of 2008 stock market crash

Pesaran, Bahram; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010

making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how … adequate these models are for modelling market risk at times of financial crisis. In doing so we consider a multivariate t …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868

Uncertainty and economic activity : a global perspective

Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2014

The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics based on the premise that uncertainty causes economic activity to slow down and contract. In this paper, we study the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338658

A counterfactual economic analysis of Covid-19 using a threshold augmented multi-country model

Chudik, Alexander; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem; … - 2020

observations. Our results show that the Covid-19 pandemic will lead to a significant fall in world output that is most likely long …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293790

Long-term macroeconomic effects of climate change : a cross-country analysis

Kahn, Matthew E.; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Ng, Ryan N. C.; … - 2019

world real GDP per capita by 7.22 percent by 2100. On the other hand, abiding by the Paris Agreement, thereby limiting the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031151

Oil exports and the Iranian economy

Esfahani, Hadi Salehi; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2009

the world. We also find that the Iranian economy adjusts quite quickly to the shocks in foreign output and oil exports …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897747

Counterfactual analysis in macroeconometrics : an empirical investigation into the effects of quantitative easing

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2012

This paper is concerned with ex ante and ex post counterfactual analyses in the case of macroeconometric applications where a single unit is observed before and after a given policy intervention. It distinguishes between cases where the policy change affects the model's parameters and where it...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009571104

Exponent of cross-sectional dependence : estimation and inference

Bailey, Natalia; Kapetanios, George; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2012

An important issue in the analysis of cross-sectional dependence which has received renewed interest in the past few years is the need for a better understanding of the extent and nature of such cross dependencies. In this paper we focus on measures of cross-sectional dependence and how such...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488893

Tests of policy ineffectiveness in macroeconometrics

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2014

This paper proposes tests of policy ineffectiveness in the context of macroeconometric rational expectations models. It is assumed that there is a policy intervention that takes the form of changes in the parameters of a policy rule, and that there are sufficient observations before and after...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010375404

What if the UK had joined the euro in 1999? : An empirical evaluation using a Global VAR

Pesaran, M. Hashem (contributor); … - 2005

This paper attempts to provide a conceptual framework for the analysis of counterfactual scenarios using macroeconometric models. As an application we consider UK entry to the euro. Entry involves a long-term commitment to restrict UK nominal exchange rates and interest rates to be the same as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003109826

Identifying the effects of sanctions on the Iranian economy using newspaper coverage

Laudati, Dario; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2021

This paper considers how sanctions affected the Iranian economy using a novel measure of sanctions intensity based on daily newspaper coverage. It finds sanctions to have significant effects on exchange rates, inflation, and output growth, with the Iranian rial over-reacting to sanctions,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599150