Showing 1 - 10 of 11
In this paper we transfer the Elo rating system, which is widely accepted in chess, sports and other disciplines, to rank scientific journals. The advantage of the Elo system is the explicit consideration of the factor time or the history of a journal's performance. Most other rankings that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580615
, we use a free and instantaneous available source of leading indicators, the ifo World Economic Survey (WES), to forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026466
German states (the Free State of Saxony and Baden-Wuerttemberg) and Eastern Germany for the period from 1997 to 2013, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557750
This paper looks into the 'fine print' of boosting for economic forecasting. By using German industrial production for the period from 1996 to 2014 and a data set consisting of 175 monthly indicators, we evaluate which indicators get selected by the boosting algorithm over time and four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411839
This analysis investigates the predictive power of the most important leading indicators for the German economy, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174766
the Joint Economic Forecast, which is an in-dependent forecasting institution in Germany. Our results indicate that … decline in Germany's trend growth and a systematic failure to correctly anticipate recessions. We show that the German …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958832
The ifo Institute is Germany’s largest business survey provider, with the ifo Business Climate Germany as one of the … paper gives a literature overview over existing studies that deal with the forecasting power of various ifo indicators both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219339
Accurate real-time macroeconomic data are essential for policy-making and economic nowcasting. In this paper, I introduce a real-time database for German regional economic accounts (READ-GER). The database contains real-time information for nine macroeconomic aggregates and the 16 German states....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014232863
overall tax sum for Germany, we find a heterogeneous degree of relative importance of both sources. Whereas wrong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547029
In this paper, we study the predictive power of electricity consumption data for regional economic activity. Using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362425