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Cutting through the value chain : the long-run effects of decoupling the East from the West

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Mahlkow, Hendrik; Sandkamp, … - 2022

With ever-increasing political tensions between China and Russia on one side and the EU and the US on the other, it … to cooperate rather than turning away from each other. By imposing a trade war on Russia, the political West could …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186412

The trade impact of the Covid-19 pandemic

Liu, Xuepeng; Ornelas, Emanuel; Shi, Huimin - 2021

Using a gravity-like approach, we study how Covid-19 deaths and lockdown policies affected countries' imports from China during 2020. We find that a country's own Covid-19 deaths and lockdowns significantly reduced its imports from China, suggesting that the negative demand effects prevailed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533941

The US-China trade war and the relocation of global value chains to Mexico

Utar, Hâle; Zurita, Alfonso Cebreros; Torres Ruiz, … - 2023

Did the 2018/19 US-China trade war trigger adjustment of Global Value Chains (GVCs) and nearshoring to Mexico? We address this question with confidential longitudinal firm-level trade data from Mexico that covers the universe of international trade transactions over 2015-2021. By merging the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014340112

Did Trump's trade war impact the 2018 election?

Blanchard, Emily J.; Bown, Chad P.; Chor, Davin - 2020

We find that Republican candidates lost support in the 2018 congressional election in counties more exposed to trade retaliation, but saw no commensurate electoral gains from US tariff protection. The electoral losses were driven by retaliatory tariffs on agricultural products, and were only...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293757

Do China and Russia undermine US sanctions? : evidence from DiD and event study estimation

Gutmann, Jerg; Neuenkirch, Matthias; Neumeier, Florian - 2022

panel difference-in-differences estimations and an event study design. Motivated by the claim that China and Russia … purposefully undermine US sanction efforts, we test whether target countries' trade with China and Russia increases under US trade … sanctions. We find no evidence for systematic sanction busting. Russia does not change its trade patterns with sanctioned …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013455721

The surprisingly swift decline of U.S. manufacturing employment

Pierce, Justin R.; Schott, Peter K. - 2014

This paper finds a link between the sharp drop in U.S. manufacturing employment beginning in 2001 and a change in U.S. trade policy that eliminated potential tariff increases on Chinese imports. Industries where the threat of tariff hikes declines the most experience more severe employment...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229883

Mining matters : natural resource extraction and local business constraints

Haas, Ralph de; Poelhekke, Steven - 2016

We estimate the impact of local mining activity on the business constraints experienced by 22,150 firms across eight resource-rich countries. We find that with the presence of active mines, the business environment in the immediate vicinity (20 km) of a firm deteriorates but business constraints...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011565667

Trade retaliation in a monetary-trade model

Whalley, John; Yu, Jun; Zhang, Shunming - 2009

We explore how outcomes of trade policy retaliation (Nash tariff games) are affected when trade simultaneously takes places geographically across countries and through time via financial intermediation. In such models deficits and surpluses in goods trade are endogenously determined, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003806727

Bringing the Copenhagen global climate change negotiations to conclusion

Whalley, John (contributor); Walsh, Sean (contributor) - 2008

(China, India, Russia, Brazil) on the other. -- Climate change ; global negotiation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790759

Trade sanctions, financial transfers and BRIC's participation in global climate change negotiations

Tian, Huifang; Whalley, John; Cai, Yuezhou - 2009

low wage rapidly growing countries in the BRIC group (Brazil, Russia, India, China) and the groups of countries as a sub …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857136