Showing 1 - 10 of 141
economies? The paper develops a new comparative data set on the usage of electricity in the manufacturing sectors of the USA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010252126
We propose a new instrument to identify uncertainty shocks in a SVAR model with external instruments. The instrument is constructed by exploiting variations in the price of gold around events that capture periods of changes in uncertainty. The variations in the price of gold around the events...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602536
Announcing a large fiscal stimulus may signal the government’s pessimism about the severity of a recession to the private sector, impairing the stabilizing effects of the policy. Using a theoretical model, we show that these signaling effects occur when the stimulus exceeds expectations and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015052575
There is no consensus about the causes of the reduction in business cycle volatility seen in many major economies over … itself led to a reduction in the volatility of economic shocks. Assuming an absence of cataclysmic events, our projections …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521030
The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that lower oil prices are good for the US and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econometric model, we first show that a fall in oil prices tends relatively quickly to lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502542
It is common practice to estimate the volatility-growth link by specifying a standard growth equation such that the … a biased and inconsistent estimate of the volatility-growth link. Our simulations show that this effect is large. Once … variance equation must include relevant control variables to estimate the volatility-growth link. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010418202
particular, an increase in the volatility of idiosyncratic productivity shocks significantly decreases aggregate output without …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496498
Higher economic growth was generated during Democratic presidencies compared to Republican presidencies in the United States. The question is why. Blinder and Watson (2016) explain that the Democratic-Republican presidential growth gap (D-R growth gap) can hardly be attributed to the policies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663552
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003674377
This paper suggests how to quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers that emerge due to bad and good volatility … stocks at the disaggregate level. Moreover, the spillovers of bad and good volatility are transmitted at different magnitudes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509638