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We estimate a three-region (DE-REA-RoW) structural macroeconomic model, and we provide a counterfactual on how nominal exchange rate flexibility would have affected the German trade balance (TB) by simulating the shocks of the estimated model under a counterfactual flexible exchange rate regime....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011983671
How do trade costs affect international trade? This paper offers a new approach. We rely on a flexible gravity equation that predicts variable trade cost elasticities, both across and within country pairs. We apply this framework to the effect of currency unions on international trade. While we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867116
This paper studies the reaction of the mean and volatility of the euro-dollar exchange rate to statements of ECB … officials during the first years of EMU. We focus on statements on monetary policy and the (potential) strength of the euro. We …. In some cases there are effects of statements on the level of the euro-dollar rate. Efforts to talk up the euro have not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507830
Macroeconomic adjustment in the euro area periphery was more recessionary than pre-crisis imbalances would have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033212
This paper provides an update on the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) estimates for 12 euro area (EA) countries. First …-through elasticities, we find very weak evidence of a decline around the inception of the euro in 1999. However, our results reveal that a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518820
conducted. - Fiscal policy in the euro area was tight in 2012-13, contributing to an unexpected fall in the GDP. Fiscal policy … has generally amplified cycles in the euro area, except in 2009. - Procyclicality is caused by short-sighted fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922165
The ultimate object of research concerning the Euro is to answer the following questions: (#1) What is the equilibrium … trajectory of the nominal euro, measured as dollars/euro? (#2) To what extent has the equilibrium nominal euro been determined by … transitory factors in affecting the value of the euro? (#4) Is the euro currently undervalued, and by what criteria? Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399350
Poland is obligated to adopt the euro after the fulfilment, inter alia, of the exchange rate criterion which requires … estimate real Polish zloty/euro equilibrium rate. Although the main goal of our analysis is to compute measures of current and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003813605
econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011774
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003395399