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inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
We present new empirical evidence for the US economy that inflation reduces the inequality of the earnings distribution … higher inflation on income distribution is shown to be rather small. However, we find that a longer duration between two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507921
excess liquidity reminiscent of the global inflation generated by the weak dollar in the 1970s. -- Inflation ; exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749649
of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) is that they fail to capture the extent of inflation inertia in the data. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409738
variables, should not affect agents ́expectations of inflation in the long term. Our estimated structural VARs show that both … long- and short-term inflation expectations are sensible to policy-related uncertainty shocks. A rise of long …-term inflation expectations in times of economic contraction, in response to such shocks, suggests that heightened policy uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764421
We model U.S. post-WWII monthly data with a Smooth Transition VAR model and study the effects of an unanticipated increase in economic policy uncertainty on unemployment in recessions and expansions. We find the response of unemployment to be statistically and economically larger in recessions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864417
This paper aims to show why Irving Fisher's own data on interest rates and inflation in New York, London, Paris, Berlin … changes in inflation, not even in the long run. In Fisher's data, interest rates have more persistence than inflation and … change less than inflation over time. The Fisher effect is a misnomer unless it is taken to refer to what Fisher actually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496089
We provide novel systematic cross-country evidence that the link between domestic labour markets and CPI inflation has … domestic labour cost changes to core CPI inflation decreased from 0.25 in the 1980s to just 0.02 in the 2010s, while the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612957
certain types of "money assets" may serve both as an indirect hedge against inflation in the two interpretations of the word …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170942
We study how carbon pricing has affected inflation ex-post, using dynamic panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips … carbon taxes. We find that an increase in prices of ETS by $10 per ton of CO2 equivalents increases energy CPI inflation by 0 ….8 percentage points (pp), and headline inflation by 0.08pp, but has no significant effects on food and core CPI inflation. We also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815765