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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003498824
type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a permanent rise in real GDP and a fall in inflation. Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257361
How do short and long term interest rates respond to a jump in financial uncertainty? We address this question by conducting a local projections analysis with US monthly data, period: 1962-2018. The state-of-the-art financial uncertainty measure proposed by Ludvigson, Ma, and Ng (2019) is found...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029082
We model U.S. post-WWII monthly data with a Smooth Transition VAR model and study the effects of an unanticipated increase in economic policy uncertainty on unemployment in recessions and expansions. We find the response of unemployment to be statistically and economically larger in recessions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864417
During the Great Recession, despite the large fall in output, inflation did not fall much. This is known as the missing … inflation during the Great Recession. We show that inflation did not fall much because intermediate goods prices were increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011292980
inflation and output can easily be explained in the context that agents do not have rational expectation. This important feature … correlated exogenous shocks to account for the high serial correlation in inflation and output while the behavioral model … strong force in producing the serial correlation in inflation and output. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888606
high during 2016-2019, keeping inflation below the Reserve Bank's target band. Optimal monetary policy in 2016-2019 would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380620
This paper explores the impact of the exchange rate regime on inflation and output in the Central and Eastern European … exchange rate stability have a better explanatory power than the de jure measures in the inflation and growth equations. For … the whole observation period the estimations reveal a significant impact of exchange rate stability on low inflation as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402440
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496544
With fixed costs of price and quantity adjustment, output effects of inflation depend on the elasticity of the firm …'s marginal real revenue. If the elasticity always exceeds minus unity, then output decreases with inflation, while if the … elasticity is always less than minus unity, then output increases with inflation. In the special case that the elasticity always …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003121028