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We develop a behavioral macroeconomic model in which agents use simple but biased rules to forecast future output and inflation. This model generates endogenous waves of optimism and pessimism ("Animal Spiritsʺ) that are generated by the correlation of biased beliefs. We contrast the dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003763301
Traditionally, aggregate liquidity shocks are modelled as exogenous events. Extending our previous work (Cao & Illing, 2008), this paper analyses the adequate policy response to endogenous systemic liquidity risk. We analyse the feedback between lender of last resort policy and incentives of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003833348
In this paper we consider a number of key issues related to the policy coordination in a monetary union that has been recently discussed in the literature. To this end we propose a multi-country New-Keynesian model of a monetary union cast in the framework of linear quadratic differential games....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807838
This interdisciplinary paper explains how mathematical techniques of stochastic optimal control can be applied to the recent subprime mortgage crisis. Why did the financial markets fail to anticipate the recent debt crisis, despite the large literature in mathematical finance concerning optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807893
This article studies the equivalence between labor and consumption taxes in a stochastic context, where the government can undertake an active portfolio management strategy by investing in both risk-free and risky assets. Using a two-period model we show that such taxes let consumers make the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003820652
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003377604
This paper investigates the limit properties of mean-variance (mv) and arbitrage pricing (ap) trading strategies using a general dynamic factor model, as the number of assets diverge to infinity. It extends the results obtained in the literature for the exact pricing case to two other cases of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003910456
payers act according to some non-expected utility theory, and (2) Individual ethical norms and social stigma induce people … subjective probabilities of being penalised according to the rank dependent utility theory, and (2) Tax payers' beliefs about … utility theory. The model explains data 53% better than pure random choices and predicts hours worked in the regular economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008697806