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inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003498824
type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a permanent rise in real GDP and a fall in inflation. Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257361
excess liquidity reminiscent of the global inflation generated by the weak dollar in the 1970s. -- Inflation ; exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749649
of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) is that they fail to capture the extent of inflation inertia in the data. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409738
There is a fundamental difference between the natural and the social sciences due to reactivity. This difference remains even in the age of Artificially Intelligent Learning Machines and Big Data. Many academic economists take it as a matter of course that economics should become a natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011700543
stronger bargaining position when they try to prevent a cut in money wages. If inflation is so low that some money wages have … to be cut, workers stronger bargaining position requires higher unemployment in equilibrium. However, inflation is more … stable when money wage rigidity binds, providing an incentive for monetary policy makers to choose a low target for inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398859
consider the implications of a risk premium that arises from endogenous market segmentation driven by variable inflation rates …. In the absence of autocorrelation in inflation, the risk premium is constant. If inflation is correlated, however, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288797
The paper addresses the question what effects the enlargement of a monetary union will have on necessary structural reforms in the (low distortion) member countries and the (high distortion) candidate countries. While monetary union lowers reforms in the candidate countries, members of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509539
The effect of a permanent change of inflation on the distribution of wealth is analyzed in a general equilibrium OLG … of inflation results in a lower stock market participation rate; in addition, the distribution of wealth becomes more … anticipated inflation are considerably lower than in Imrohoroglu (1992). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514109