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-probability extreme events on environmental policy in a continuous-time real options model with "tail risk". In a nutshell, our results … indicate the importance of tail risk and call for foresighted pre-emptive climate policies. -- climate policy ; extreme events …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003994530
People often fail to insure against catastrophes, even when insurance is subsidized. Even when insuring homes, many homeowners still underinsure the full value of their assets. Some researchers have suggested using long-term insurance contracts to reduce these insurance gaps. We examine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012694052
. Uncertainty about the future rate of growth of the economy and emissions and the risk of macroeconomic disasters (tail risks) also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249287
The efficiency effects of carbon pricing depend on how it impacts distortions in fossil fuel markets, most notably from local air pollution externalities. By offsetting these distortions, carbon pricing may generate significant net economic benefits, so it is in countries own interests to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011497937
For any emission trading system (ETS) with quantity-based endogenous supply of allowances, there exists a negative demand shock, e.g. induced by abatement policy, that increases aggregate supply and thus cumulative emissions. We prove this green paradox for a general model and then apply it to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012105543
We analyze how conventional emissions trading schemes (ETS) can be modified by introducing ”clean-up certificates” to allow for a phase of net-negative emissions. Clean-up certificates bundle the permission to emit CO2 with the obligation for its removal. We show that demand for such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014556665
Recent theoretical work in the economics of climate change has suggested that climate policy is highly sensitive to "fat-tailed" risks of catastrophic outcomes (Weitzman, 2009b). Such risks are suggested to be an inevitable consequence of scientific uncertainty about the effects of increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199723
If the threshold that triggers climate catastrophe is known with certainty, and the benefits of avoiding catastrophe are high relative to the costs, treaties can easily coordinate countries' behavior so as to avoid the threshold. Where the net benefits of avoiding catastrophe are lower, treaties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684058
discretionary power in a partisan manner. We analyze the allocation of presidential disaster declarations in the United States …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177149
price rises at the risk-adjusted interest rate. Adding damages leads to a higher carbon price that grows more slowly. But as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012515093