The resurgence of inflation since the late 2021 is now accompanied by a reversal of prospects of growth, reviving fears … prominent role is played by the fall of households' purchasing power, and hence consumption, owing to the inflation shock visà … inflation surprises, independent of restrictive monetary policy, is not present in the standard New Keynesian models for …

When inflation picks up, central banks are most concerned that the de-anchoring of inflation expectations and the … ignition of wage-price spirals will trigger inflation dynamic instability. However, such scenarios do not materialize in the … updated according to the actual inflation process, with indexed wages, and persistent inflation shocks. In these cases, a more …

data determine two inflation regimes and find that they are characterized by high and low inflation volatility. We then … exhibit a more substantial and more persistent effect on downstream prices during periods of elevated inflation volatility … effective in State 2. Exogenously differentiating regimes by the level of inflation or the shock size does not reveal state …

It is an open question whether and how indexed wage contracts reduce welfare or raise average inflation. This paper … analyzes the impact of indexed wage contracts on inflation and social welfare in a Barro Gordon model with discretionary … monetary policy by endogenizing social costs of indexation. Main results are: Wage indexation reduces the inflation bias but …