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It is an open question whether and how indexed wage contracts reduce welfare or raise average inflation. This paper … analyzes the impact of indexed wage contracts on inflation and social welfare in a Barro Gordon model with discretionary … monetary policy by endogenizing social costs of indexation. Main results are: Wage indexation reduces the inflation bias but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505896
parameter combinations our results confirm the findings of Beetsma et al. (2001) that for symmetric inflation and output gap … central bank and the coalition of national governments is most intense under a symmetric inflation shocks when there is strong … conflict concerning the orientation of stabilisation policies. This conflict is less pronounced under an asymmetric inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807838
The business cycles theories of Wicksell (1898), Schumpeter (1912), Mises (1912), Hayek (1929, 1935) and Minsky (1986, 1992) explain business cycles by distorted prices on capital markets, buoyant credit expansion and overinvestment. The exuberance during the boom endogenously causes the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003910416
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003495749
, thereby controlling inflation expectations, it can improve welfare by stabilizing short-run aggregate shocks. The optimal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003300933
This paper analyzes the effectiveness of the tax and transfer systems in the European Union and the US to act as an automatic stabilizer in the current economic crisis. We find that automatic stabilizers absorb 38 per cent of a proportional income shock in the EU, compared to 32 per cent in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003922975
This paper is concerned with the apparent change in the U.S. oil price-macroeconomy relationship. It is investigated to what extent this change can be accounted for by the large oil price surges witnessed in the 1970s. The innovative approach of rolling impulse responses is applied and both the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857164
The interaction of monetary and fiscal policies is a crucial issue in a highly integrated economic area as the European Union. We argue that EMU, which introduced a common monetary policy and restrictions on fiscal policy at the national level, increases the need for macroeconomic policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398097
This paper provides a model of "social hysteresis", whereby long, deep recessions demotivate workers and thereby lead them to change their work ethic. In switching from a pro-work to an anti-work identity, their incentives to seek and retain work fall and consequently their employment chances...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009753001
In this paper, we examine the role of global and domestic credit supply shocks in macroeconomic fluctuations for Emerging Markets. For this purpose, we impose a set of zero and sign restrictions within a medium-scale Bayesian Vector Auto-Regressive model. Quarterly data from South Africa and G-7...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009754529