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Do bubbles lead to overinvestment? : a revealed preference approach
Chirinko, Robert S.; Schaller, Huntley - 2011
spending - combined with investment theory - to estimate the discount rates used by managers. The standard story predicts that … between 15.1% and 45.2% too much capital. These estimates suggest that, even before they burst, bubbles adversely affect … economic activity by misallocating capital. -- bubbles ; investment ; stock markets ; real effects of financial markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153871
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Was Bernanke right? : targeting asset prices may not be a good Idea after all
Assenza, Tiziana; Berardi, Michele; Delli Gatti, Domenico - 2011
Should the central bank prevent "excessive" asset price dynamics or should it wait until the boom spontaneously turns into a crash and intervene only afterwards? The debate over this issue goes back at least to the exchange between Bernanke-Gertler (BG) and Cecchetti but has not settled yet. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009377794
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Financial fragility, bubbles and monetary policy
Illing, Gerhard - 2001
The paper models the links between financial fragility, asset markets and monetary policy. It is shown that central bank's concern about the cost of financial disruption generates an asymmetric response, thus contributing to the creation of an asset price bubble. In an economy with a highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398119
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Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news
Born, Benjamin; Dovern, Jonas; Enders, Zeno - 2020
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
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Asymmetric connectedness on the US stock market : bad and good volatility spillovers
Baruník, Jozef; Kočenda, Evžen; Vácha, Lukáš - 2015
This paper suggests how to quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers that emerge due to bad and good volatility. Using data covering most liquid U.S. stocks in seven sectors, we provide ample evidence of the asymmetric connectedness of stocks at the disaggregate level. Moreover, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509638
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Predictability of bull and bear markets : a new look at forecasting stock market regimes (and returns) in the US
Haase, Felix; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2021
The empirical literature of stock market predictability mainly suffers from model uncertainty and parameter instability. To meet this challenge, we propose a novel approach that combines the documented merits of diffusion indices, regime-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416151
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Persistence in the Russian stock market volatility indices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2018
This paper applies a fractional integration framework to analyse the stochastic behaviour of two Russian stock market volatility índices (namely the originally created RTSVX and the new RVI that has replaced it), using daily data over the period 2010-2018. The empirical findings are consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903723
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Long-run linkages between US stock prices and cryptocurrencies : a fractional cointegration analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Dios Mazariegos, José Javier; … - 2022
This paper applies fractional integration and cointegration methods to examine respectively the univariate properties of the four main cryptocurrencies in terms of market capitalization (BTC, ETH, USDT, BNB) and of four US stock market indices (S&P500, NASDAQ, Dow Jones and MSCI for emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368898
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Mental models of the stock market
Andre, Peter; Schirmer, Philipp; Wohlfart, Johannes - 2023
Investors' return expectations are pivotal in stock markets, but the reasoning behind these expectations remains a black box for economists. This paper sheds light on economic agents' mental models - their subjective understanding - of the stock market, drawing on surveys with the US general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383579
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Forecasting random walks under drift instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem (contributor); Pick, Andreas (contributor) - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003711763