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Forecasting exports across Europe : what are the superior survey indicators?
Lehmann, Robert - 2019 - This version: September 6, 2019
In this study, we systematically evaluate the potential of a bunch of survey-based indicators from different economic branches to forecasting export growth across a multitude of European countries. Our pseudo out-of-sample analyses reveal that the best-performing indicators beat a well-specified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104016
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Economy wide impact of the trade integration between Japan and India : a computable general equilibrium analysis
Bhattacharyay, Biswanath; Mukhopadhyay, Kakali - 2013
Japan and India signed the much-awaited Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) on 16th February 2011. The …, the study evaluates the economy wide impact of the proposed CEPA between India and Japan at 2020. The study has used a … India and Japan in 2020 after tariff reduction compared to Business as Usual (BAU) scenario. A marginal export growth is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010227205
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Quantifying the EU-Japan economic partnership agreement
Felbermayr, Gabriel; Kimura, Fukunari; Okubo, Toshihiro; … - 2018
This paper provides a quantitative analysis of the new EU-Japan free trade agreement (FTA), the biggest bilateral deal … that both the EU and Japan have concluded so far. It employs a generalized variant of the Eaton-Kortum (2002) model … reductions in the costs of NTBs. This approach yields long-run welfare effects for Japan of about 18 bn. USD per year (0.31% of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903006
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State visits and international trade
Nitsch, Volker (contributor) - 2005
Politicians travel extensively abroad, for various reasons. One purpose of external visits is to improve bilateral economic relations. In this paper, I examine the effect of state visits on international trade. I use a large data set covering the travel activities of the heads of state of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003202927
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On the time-varying impact of China's bilateral political relations on its trading partners (1960-2022)
Afonso, António; Mignon, Valérie; Saadaoui, Jamel - 2023
We assess the impact of China's bilateral political relations with three main trading partners-the US, Germany, and the UK-on current account balances and exchange rates, over the 1960Q1-2022Q4 period. Relying on the lag-augmented VAR approach with time-varying Granger causality tests, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014443830
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Brexit : the economics of international disintegration
Sampson, Thomas - 2017
This paper reviews the literature on the likely economic consequences of Brexit and considers the lessons of the Brexit vote for the future of European and global integration. Brexit will make the United Kingdom poorer because it will lead to new barriers to trade and migration between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011723466
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Trade, trust and institutions
Yu, Shu; Haan, Jakob de; Beugelsdijk, Sjoerd - 2011
To investigate the relation between trust and formal institutions, we analyze bilateral trade patterns in a sample of 16 European countries between 1996-2009. Trust in trading partners has a significant positive effect on bilateral trade. However, our results suggest that trust and formal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009300684
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Future European alliance : Europe as a flexible democracy
Frey, Bruno S.; Steuernagel, Armin; Friedrich, Jonas - 2018
A reasonable future for Europe can only be achieved if two essential elements are fulfilled: Firstly, newly established …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011919540
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Which conflicts can the European neighbourhood policy help resolve?
Thorvaldur Gylfason; Wijkman, Per Magnus - 2012
Under what conditions can the European Neighbourhood Policy achieve one of its main objectives: to resolve conflicts in the European Union's neighbourhood? In the spirit of Montesquieu and Monnet, the basic hypothesis of the EU is that closer economic integration encourages governments to take...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009571288
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Phasing out nuclear power in Europe
Aune, Finn Roar; Golombek, Rolf; Hallre, Hilde - 2015
-out in Europe by 2030 has a moderate impact on total production of electricity (4 percent reduction) and only a tiny impact … GDP in Europe. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281296