This paper analyses the determinants of short-term inflation expectations based on surveys of professionals, using … dynamic cross-country panel estimation for a large number of 34 OECD economies. We find that food consumer price inflation and … depreciations of the domestic exchange rate have significant positive effects on professionals' survey-based inflation expectations …

This paper examines the causal effects of shifts in international food commodity prices on euro area inflation dynamics …%-30% of inflation volatility. In addition, large autonomous swings in international food prices contributed significantly to … the twin puzzle of missing disinflation and missing inflation in the era after the Great Recession. Specifically, without …

costs across product groups. We show that, after the referendum, inflation increased by more for product groups with higher …

interdependency of national monetary policies, which is sometimes measured by the degree of inflation transmission across borders. In … this paper, we examine how inflation rates in two small open economies, namely Hong Kong and Singapore, interact with those … model is used to study the inflation dynamics. It is found that Hong Kong and Singapore inflation rates, but not the U …

This paper studies exchange rate pass-through to food and energy consumer price inflation and its dependence on the … inflation environment using cross-country panel estimation of Phillips curves. It considers a large panel of OECD member and … inflation and also significant for food CPI inflation. A 10% depreciation in the exchange rate leads to an increase in energy …

Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor … explains approximately 58% of the variation in headline inflation across all countries and over 72% in OECD economies. The … explanatory power of global inflation is equally high in a shorter sample spanning the time since 2000. Core inflation is also …

networks. Starting with country-level data, we find that both producer price and consumer price inflation rates move more …

Greater international economic interconnectedness over recent decades has been changing inflation dynamics. This paper …, is an important channel through which global economic slack influences domestic inflation. In particular, we document the … inflation rates, both across countries and over time. Accounting for the role of GVCs, we also find that the conventional trade …

inflation (PPI) across countries. Using a multi-country, industry-level dataset that combines information on PPI and exchange … across a range of econometric tests, input-output linkages account for half of the global component of PPI inflation. We … preserves fat-tailed idiosyncratic shocks and thus leads to a fat-tailed distribution of inflation rates, i.e., periods of …

This paper uses the European Commission's Consumer Survey to assess whether inflation expectations have converged and … whether inflation uncertainty has diminished following the introduction of the Euro in Europe. Consumers' responses to the … survey suggest that inflation expectations depend more on past national inflation rates than on the ECB's anchor for price …