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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003377072
uncertain prospects of re-election, find it optimal to follow relatively shortsighted fiscal policies, and that this lowers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011511068
year of a gubernatorial election, the elasticity of investment to the eventual margin of victory is 0.027. Both the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451061
A common narrative is that COVID-19 cost Trump re-election. We do not find supporting evidence; if anything, the … effect, our estimates imply Trump would been on the precipice of re-election by winning Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421123
election relative to an analogous impact for men who closely win or lose a state legislature election. We find that the effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064423
Through social media, politicians can personalize their campaigns and target specific groups of voters with an unprecedented precision. We assess the effects of such political micro-targeting by exploiting daily advertising prices on Facebook during the 2016 US presidential campaign. We measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206082
2008 US presidential election, the first political campaign where the internet played a key role. Drawing on data from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794226
This paper develops a theoretical framework that makes predictions on (a) the conditions under which a populist party decides to run and the policy position it takes and (b) voters' response under different electoral systems. We test these predictions using data on Italian municipal elections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299798
The problem of finding the factors influencing voting behavior is of crucial interest in political science and is frequently analyzed in books and articles. But there are not so many studies whose supporting information comes from official registers. This work uses official vote records in Spain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444925
We study a large-scale intervention designed by civil society organizations to reduce vote buying in Uganda’s 2016 elections. We study this intervention in light of a model where incumbents benefit from a first-mover and valence advantage, vote buying and campaigning are complementary, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636844