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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003364632
-skewness, and co-volatility contagion tests. Our analysis is applied to the oil-exchange rate and oil-stock market relationships of … and turbulent oil price volatility episodes with a non-hierarchical k-means clustering algorithm on volatility measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922053
A new procedure to trace the sources of contagion in the oil-finance nexus is proposed. We do this by consolidating veteran rules derived from the empirical oil literature to filter oil supply, global demand, and oil demand shocks into discrete typical and extreme conditions. We show how these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012120201
that divergence in monetary policy regimes affects forex volatility spillovers but that adding oil to a forex portfolio … shocks dominate forex volatility connectedness, positive shocks prevail when oil and forex markets are assessed jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012035050
We study a segmented-markets setting in which self-fulfilling volatility can arise. The only requirements are (i) asset … valuation ratios stationary (e.g., cash flow growth rises when valuations rise). We prove that when self-fulfilling volatility … susceptible to self-fulfilling fluctuations. The tight theoretical connection between price volatility and arbitrage is detectable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012260973
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641673
This paper studies drivers of high-frequency (daily) dynamics of the South African rand vis-à-vis the dollar from January 2001 to July 2007. We find strong nonlinear effects of commodity prices, perceived country and emerging market risk premium and changes in the dollar-euro exchange rate on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831962
. Daily data reveal significant differences in volatility on the last of three meeting days when the interest rate … macroeconomic news effects on the foreign exchange market. We find evidence for non-linear regime switching between a high-volatility …, informed-trading state and a low-volatility, liquidity-trading state. MPC surprise announcements are shown significantly to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831967
direction. Interventions increase volatility in the short run as they are regarded as information; but they can reduce … volatility overall. Ways of transmission may reach beyond the signaling channel and also include the portfolio balance and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790983
implications for exchange rates, volatility, returns to currency investing, and transaction costs. This blow-by-blowʺ narrative is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861767