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Under conditions of risk it makes a difference whether the discount rate is determined as an expected present or as an expected future value. This difference which is dubbed as the Weitzman-Gollier puzzle has stimulated an intensive discussion which, however, is somewhat confusing. In this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412052
inefficient policy prescriptions and, furthermore, has the particularly undesirable consequence of incorrectly discounting future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012602352
forecasted energy prices. Using Danish guidelines as a case study, we explore the discounting assumptions in these input prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383298
Weitzman (1998) showed that when future interest rates are uncertain, using the expected net present value implies a term structure of discount rates that is decreasing to the smallest possible interest rate. On the contrary, using the expected net future value criterion implies an increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850252
It is not immediately clear how to discount distant-future events, like climate change, when the distant-future discount rate itself is uncertain. The so-called "Weitzman-Gollier puzzle" is the fact that two seemingly symmetric and equally plausible ways of dealing with uncertain future discount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003910677
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003379775
Present value calculations require predictions of cash flows both at near and distant future points in time. Such predictions are generally surrounded by considerable uncertainty and may critically depend on assumptions about parameter values as well as the form and stability of the data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003300967
We compare different designs that have been used to test for an impact of time horizon on discounting, using real … declining (hyperbolic) discounting, but with other designs find constant or increasing discounting. As a whole, the data are not … consistent with any of these usual candidate discounting assumptions, and they also imply a violation of transitivity. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009503806
)actions, the more weight they receive. If uncertainty is endogenous to the decision process, the new rationale for discounting will … preference ; discounting ; uncertainty ; expected utility ; recursive utility ; risk aversion ; intertemporal substitutability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009533970
market. Even though we allow for a general-hyperbolic specification (which has exponential discounting as a special case … specification) of 8 %. -- present bias ; hyperbolic discounting ; discount rate ; hedonic estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009266765