Showing 1 - 10 of 437
is stronger for countries with higher average inflation or debt. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010189835
We use a panel of 21 OECD countries from 1970 to 2009 to investigate the effects of different fiscal adjustment strategies on long-term interest rates - a key fiscal indicator reflecting the costs of government debt service. A government confronted with high deficits and rising debt will sooner...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008807633
This paper aims to show why Irving Fisher's own data on interest rates and inflation in New York, London, Paris, Berlin … changes in inflation, not even in the long run. In Fisher's data, interest rates have more persistence than inflation and … change less than inflation over time. The Fisher effect is a misnomer unless it is taken to refer to what Fisher actually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496089
. Therefore, in periods with inflation generous tax depreciation provisions do not adequately promote private investment as … designed, but partly compensate such losses caused by inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399561
This paper examines the distributional implications of inflation on top income shares in 12 advanced economies using … data over the period 1920-2016. We use Local Projections to analyze how top income shares respond to an inflation shock …, and panel regressions in which all variables are defined as five-year averages to examine the impact of inflation on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197609
Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor … explains approximately 58% of the variation in headline inflation across all countries and over 72% in OECD economies. The … explanatory power of global inflation is equally high in a shorter sample spanning the time since 2000. Core inflation is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551069
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496544
same inflation or interest rate expectations can differently assess whether the level of the corresponding variable is … and affects durable spending and saving decisions. We also show that the variation in inflation preferences can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166152
This paper investigates the predictive power of the shadow rate for the inflation rate in countries with a zero lower … parameters we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of an inflation model including a shadow rate interaction term … inflation rate are evaluated. The models including the shadow rate interaction term are found to outperform the benchmark ones …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013176885
intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output growth and inflation, obtained using a small macroeconometric model, are … presented. We discuss in detail the probability that inflation will fall within the Bank of England's target range and that … insights on the interrelatedness of output growth and inflation outcomes at different horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781626