Showing 1 - 10 of 168
The paper analyses the reasons for Japan's persistently low inflation since the bursting of the Japanese bubble economy … (low inflation conundrum). It is shown that Japan experienced a structural break from a high-growth period with relatively … high inflation to a low-growth period with exceptionally low inflation since the early 1990s. We show based on a stylized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013284915
We investigate regime-dependent Granger causality between real output, inflation and monetary indicators and map with U … variables to explain variations in real output and inflation. We provide a comprehensive account of evolution of causal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157284
quantity of money and or excess money can be used to forecast inflation. After a preliminary data analysis, money demand …. Using recursive estimates, indicator properties of monetary aggregates for inflation are assessed for the period from 2000 … the one for M2 is strongly influenced by these three observations. While in both cases forecasts for 2010 show inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936693
This paper focusses on the relation between external imbalances and domestic money and credit growth in the euro area. We compute money and credit overhang both for the euro area as a whole and for individual member countries. Our results show that both aggregate money and credit overhang have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010210704
. The analysis is conducted for five inflation targeting countries (the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and Sweden) and … near future, namely central banks are perceived as more credible when sticking to their goal of keeping inflation at a low …, UIP holds better in inflation targeting countries, where monetary authorities appear to achieve a higher degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508617
We study the short-run effect of elections on monetary aggregates in a sample of 85 low and middle income democracies (1975 - 2009). We find an increase in the growth rate of M1 during election months of about one tenth of a standard deviation. A similar effect can neither be detected in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342347
affect inflation. Likewise, the interaction between central bank independence and coordination does not affect unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409983
We present new empirical evidence for the US economy that inflation reduces the inequality of the earnings distribution … higher inflation on income distribution is shown to be rather small. However, we find that a longer duration between two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507921
The paper addresses the question what effects the enlargement of a monetary union will have on necessary structural reforms in the (low distortion) member countries and the (high distortion) candidate countries. While monetary union lowers reforms in the candidate countries, members of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509539
We scrutinize the role of capital flows for competitiveness in seven euro-area countries in the context of real convergence and crisis with a specific focus on Greece. The paper extends the seminal Balassa-Samuelson model to include international capital markets. Capital flows are assumed to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350203