share of their pension wealth in risky assets. The ability of young agents to compensate their financial losses by saving …

Theory predicts that the equilibrium real interest rate, r*t, and the perceived trend in inflation, ð*t, are key …*t substantially increases the accuracy of long-range interest rate forecasts, helps predict excess bond returns, improves estimates of … the term premium in long-term interest rates, and captures a substantial share of interest rate variability at low …

structure can help predict interest rates and excess bond returns. We demonstrate that the statistical tests that have been used … slope of the yield curve are robust predictors of excess bond returns, and there is no robust and convincing evidence for …

curve. Most importantly, variation in yield skewness has substantial forecasting power for future bond excess returns, high …

daily S&P500, the US Treasury Bond Index (USTB), the S&P Green Bond Index (GREEN) and the Dow Jones (DJ) Islamic World …. The mortality rate, surprisingly, seems to have affected stock and bond prices positively with autocorrelated errors. As …

This paper analyses persistence and non-linearities in quarterly and monthly US Treasury 10-year bond yields over the …

prices and bond yields using fractional integration techniques. The model is estimated first over the period January 1966 … pandemic period. We find that the unit root hypothesis cannot be rejected for stock prices while for bond yields the results … differ depending on the maturity date and the specification of the error term. In general, bond yields appear to be more …