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We model the optimal reaction of a public PAYG pension system to demographic shocks. We compare the ex-ante first best and second best solution of a Ramsey planner with full commitment to the outcome under simple third best rules that mimic the pension systems observed in the real world. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003771791
effects of mortality, fertility and migration developments on the dynamics of the German pension system. We show that the past … population structure - driven by past fertility changes - and future mortality improvements will be the most important factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011782034
are necessary, but often lack public support. Based on representative survey data from Germany, we conduct a survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013440454
Between 1950 and 2017, world average life expectancy increased from below-50 to above-70, while the fertility rate dropped from 5 to about 2.5. We develop and calibrate an analytic climate-economy model with overlapping generations to study the effect of such demographic change on capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011717212
International migration flows largely reflect demographic patterns and economic opportunities. Migration flows increase in expected income and other pull factors in potential destinations, and in push factors in the origin, like high unemployment, low wages, and high population growth. Migration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533912
more generally. Using a novel dataset that provides information on spatial variation in Plague mortality at the city level … population returns to high-mortality locations endowed with more rural and urban fixed factors of production. Land suitability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011977143
In this paper, we consider how the retirement age as well as a tax financed pension system ought to respond to a change in the standard deviation of the length of life. In a first best framework, where a benevolent government exercises perfect control over the individuals' labor supply and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008697501
We construct a tractable discrete-time overlapping generations model of a closed economy and use it to study government redistribution of accidental bequests and private annuities in general equilibrium. Individuals face longevity risk as there is a positive probability of passing away before...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003994548
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003598833
generations model, using stochastic mortality projections as inputs. In a traditional pension scheme with no automatic longevity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011404399