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What is an optimal or a sustainable external debt - for a country, region or sector? How should one monitor and evaluate debt to preclude a crisis? We use stochastic optimal control/dynamic programming to derive an optimal debt. The deviation of the actual from the optimal will serve as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509487
This paper develops a model in which the interaction of entrepreneurial investments and power of the owners of land or other natural resources determines structural change and economic development. A more equal distribution of natural resources promotes structural change and growth through two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003202246
This paper investigates the long-run effects of public debt and inflation on economic growth. Our contribution is both … over the 1965-2010 period, we find significant negative long-run effects of public debt and inflation on growth. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212372
How costly are sovereign debt crises? In this paper we study output losses during sovereign default and debt renegotiation episodes since 1980. In contrast to previous work, we account for the severity of default and not only for its occurrence. Specifically, we distinguish between "hard" and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011551034
One of the main functions of public debt is to smooth taxes and spending over time. In the Covid crisis, the Maastricht deficit restrictions were temporarily suspended to allow for large temporary deficits. As recovery sets in, countries are confronted with the task of consolidating the Covid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796971
This paper first searches for the drivers of the Greek depression in the aftermath of the 2007-8 global crisis and in turn looks for engines of sustained growth. We use a micro-founded macroeconomic model calibrated to Greece. Our simulations show that the adopted adjustment program (namely, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012195896
Analyses of pension funding effects on economic growth need to differentiate between "carve-out" pension privatization in Latin America and Eastern Europe and typical "add-on" pension funding in Western Europe and North America. We find no evidence that pension privatization in Latin America and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011536201
seigniorage finance. This leads to an increase in inflation which, in turn, reduces capital accumulation and growth. At the … strategies. Our results are robust to a wide range of sensitivity tests. -- Corruption ; seigniorage ; inflation ; growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003748210
Economic development in Latin America has trailed most other world regions over the past four decades despite its relatively high initial development and school attainment levels. This puzzle can be resolved by considering the actual learning as expressed in tests of cognitive skills, on which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850158
Against the background of a notoriously high macroeconomic instability and the need to raise tax revenues to meet the demands of public spending, this paper analyzes the tradeoff between growth and volatility of tax revenues in Latin America. We use a two-step Engle-Granger-type model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009230