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We introduce financial frictions in a two sector model of international trade with heterogeneous agents. The level of specialization in the economy (economic development) depends on the quality of financial institutions. Underdeveloped financial markets prohibit an economy to specialize in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009694
A rational-expectations equilibrium with positive demand for financial information does exist under fully revealing asset price - contrary to a wide-held conjecture. Generalizing the common additive signal-return model with CARA utility to the family of distributions with moment generating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451345
Adding a stage of signal acquisition to the expected utility model shows that Bayesian updating results in a well defined law of demand for financial information when asset return distributions are conjugate priors to signals such as in the gamma-Poisson case. Signals have a positive marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002756259
We examine the various senses in which economist use the term "rationality" and then outline some of the commonly drawn …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011793877
This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The univariate analysis based on fractional integration aims to determine whether the series are I(1) (in which case markets might be efficient) or alternatively I(d) with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011784
This paper examines short-term price reactions after one-day abnormal price changes and whether they create exploitable profit opportunities in various financial markets. A t-test confirms the presence of overreactions and also suggests that there is an "inertia anomaly", i.e. after an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010431281
This paper investigates the informational efficiency of global crude oil markets using a recently introduced quantitative measure for market inefficiency. The methodology assesses the deviation of observed oil price behavior from the Random Walk benchmark, representing an efficient market. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505288
This paper analyses the informational efficiency of the WTI crude oil markets using a recently proposed quantitative measure for market inefficiency. The procedure measures the extent to which observed oil price behaviour deviates from the Random Walk benchmark which represents an efficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490913
This paper performs a welfare analysis of economies with private information when public information is endogenously generated and agents can condition on noisy public statistics in the rational expectations tradition. We find that equilibrium is not (restricted) efficient even when feasible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153832
that are imposed in the evaluation of uncertain scenarios. Imposing all rationality constraints jointly eliminates pure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009533970