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This paper performs a welfare analysis of economies with private information when public information is endogenously generated and agents can condition on noisy public statistics in the rational expectations tradition. We find that equilibrium is not (restricted) efficient even when feasible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153832
A general framework is described specifying how boundedly rational decision makers generate their choices. Starting from a Master Module which keeps an inventory of previously successful and unsuccessful routines several submodules can be called forth which either allow one to adjust behavior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781608
The Homo economicus of traditional economics is far from being completely self-interested, rational, or as individualistic as he is purported to be; he will haggle to death over price but will not take what he wants by force. Implicitly, he is assumed to behave ruthlessly within a welldefined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507656
How do voters allocate costly attention to alternative political issues? And how does selective ignorance of voters interact with policy design by politicians? We address these questions by developing a model of electoral competition with rationally inattentive voters. Rational inattention...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451105
Most economic models are based on the self-interest hypothesis that assumes that all people are exclusively motivated by their material self-interest. In recent years experimental economists have gathered overwhelming evidence that systematically refutes the self-interest hypothesis and suggests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011397676
Using a novel dataset that contains qualitative firm survey data on sales forecasts as well as balance-sheet data on realized sales, we document that only major forecast errors are predictable and display autocorrelation. This result is a particular violation of the Full Information Rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174792
This paper presents novel evidence for the prevalence of deviations from rational behavior in human decision making – and for the corresponding causes and consequences. The analysis is based on move-by-move data from chess tournaments and an identification strategy that compares behavior of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226615
The weak rationality principle is not an empirical statement but a heuristic rule of how to proceed in social sciences …-foundation and, therefore, employ the rationality assumption in economic models. Then, with reference to the ‘bounded rationality … a part of the rationality assumption. We conclude with some remarks on handling the problems of ‘free will’ as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002730896
that are imposed in the evaluation of uncertain scenarios. Imposing all rationality constraints jointly eliminates pure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009533970
Explaining individual behavior in politics should rely on the same motivational assumptions as explaining behavior in the market: That’s what Political Economy, understood as the application of economics to the study of political processes, is all about. In its standard variant, those who...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412852