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Shocks to the demand for housing that originate in one region may seem important only for that regional housing market. We provide evidence that such shocks can also affect housing markets in other regions. Our analysis focuses on the response of Canadian housing markets to oil price shocks. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011840759
This paper develops a small open economy (SOE) dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that helps to explain business cycle synchronization between an emerging market and advanced economies. The model captures the specificities of both economies (e.g. primary commodity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029113
in Canada is shown to react to uncertainty shocks in economic busts only. Such shocks explain about 13% of the variance …". According to this channel, jumps in US uncertainty foster economic policy uncertainty in Canada in the first place and, because …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862894
simulations show that pension buffers are highly volatile when the shocks are drawn from realistically modelled multivariate shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003883861
per capita) mediated by product vulnerabilities. We account for the precise lag between when the COVID-19 shock hit the … a lower degree of complexity negatively affected exports as a result of this shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013167964
Terrorist events typically vary along many dimensions, making it difficult to identify their economic effects. This paper analyzes the impact of terrorism on international trade by examining a series of three large-scale terrorist incidents in France over the period from January 2015 to July...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533940
We compare the realised impact of terrorism and disasters linked to natural hazards. Using fifty years of data from two databases covering 99 percent of the global population, we find that natural hazard disasters were more then 20 times more impactful than terrorism. The former had a larger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013337593
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641715
This paper examines the responses of private consumption, residential investment, and business investment in 11 EU countries, Japan, and the United States to shocks in housing and equity prices. The effects are assessed with a Structural Vector Auto Regressive (SVAR) model, and four key findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003730274
This paper contributes to the on-going empirical debate regarding the role of the RBC model and in particular of technology shocks in explaining aggregate fluctuations. To this end we estimate the model's posterior density using Markov-Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) methods. Within this framework we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003833344