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This paper looks at how the reputation of a monetary policy making committee is jointly determined with the reputations of its individual members. I ask whether individuals ha ve more or less incentive to gain a reputation for being tough on inflation when they are part of a group. I examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781721
In a standard New Keynesian model, a myopic central bank concerned with stabilizing inflation and changes in the output gap will implement a policy under discretion that replicates the optimal, timeless perspective, precommitment policy. By stabilizing output gap changes, the central bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408406
Using voting data from the Bank of England, we show that different individual assessments of the economy strongly influence votes after controlling for individual policy preferences. We estimate that internal members form more precise assessments than externals and are also more hawkish, though...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009733019
This paper reports the results of a survey among private sector economists about credibility and transparency of … Survey to answer questions on the importance and determinants of credibility. The results of both surveys are very comparable …. Credibility is considered to be important to attain price stability at low cost, while the best ways to earn credibility are a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399168
We examine "Forward Guidance Contracts", which make central bankers' utility contingent on the precision of interest-rate forecasts for some time. Such Forward Guidance Contracts are a exible commitment device and can improve economic performance when the economy is stuck in a liquidity trap....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528970
This paper investigates the empirical relevance of a new framework for monetary policy analysis in which the decision-makers are allowed to weight differently positive and negative deviations of inflation and output from the target values. Reduced-form and structural estimates of the central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450850
In this paper we analyze flexible inflation targeting and nominal income targeting as two different monetary strategies in a simple dynamic macromodel. Furthermore we analyze inflation targeting in a two-period time-lag version of the model. The key results of our paper are: First, for both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781578
to the credibility revolution) tends to put too much emphasis on internal aspects related solely to the study itself. To …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014632289
behaviour is present. A main finding, for the US, is that after credibility-building and disinflation have been established, the … new type of inflation bias. Conversely, where, as is the case in the UK, credibility-building is still a concern for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410664
Institutions are important for proper economic performance, but are replaceable by trust or other social norms. We show that when proper institutions and trust are missing, integrity of the individuals can replace them. We construct a model of a transactions-based economy with contracts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872201