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Systematic consumption risk in currency returns
Hoffmann, Mathias; Suter, Rahel - 2013
We sort currencies by countries' consumption growth over the past four quarters. Currency portfolios of countries experiencing consumption booms have higher Sharpe ratios than those of countries going through a consumption-based recession. A carry strategy that goes short in countries that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752999
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Non-linearities in the relation between the exchange rate and its fundamentals
Altavilla, Carlo (contributor); De Grauwe, Paul (contributor) - 2005
This paper investigates the relationship between the euro-dollar exchange rate and its underlying fundamentals. First, we develop a simple theoretical model in which chartists and fundamentalists interact. This model predicts the existence of different regimes, and thus nonlinearities in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003202226
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Optimal degree of public information dissemination
Cornand, Camille (contributor); Heinemann, Frank (contributor) - 2004
In currency exchange markets, there is a conflict between individual decisions and the socially optimal solution. Whereas agents have a coordination motive to take the same position, at the social level effective market coordination per se is not socially valuable, and the central bank aims at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521683
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The impact of FX central bank intervention in a noise trading framework
Beine, Michel (contributor); De Grauwe, Paul (contributor);  … - 2005
In this paper we investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBI) in a noise trading model with chartists and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a mean reverting dynamics of the exchange rate towards a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003113337
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Fundamental and non-fundamental equilibria in the foreign exchange market : a behavioural finance framework
De Grauwe, Paul (contributor); Dieci, Roberto (contributor);  … - 2005
We develop a simple model of the exchange rate in which agents optimize their portfolio and use different forecasting rules. They check the profitability of these rules ex post and select the more profitable one. This model produces two kinds of equilibria, a fundamental and a bubble one. In a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002749785
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Exit strategies, capital flight and speculative attacks : Europe's version of the trilemma
Steiner, Andreas; Steinkamp, Sven; Westermann, Frank - 2017
proposing a theory-based index of exchange market pressure within the euro area. We argue that the euro area entails an inherent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754245
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Volatility connectedness on the Central European forex markets
Albrecht, Peter; Kočenda, Evžen - 2023
robust with respect to a volatility measure and provide direct policy implications for portfolio composition and hedging. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014414188
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How does the EU ETS reform impact allowance prices? : the role of myopia, hedging requirements and the hotelling rule
Bocklet, Johanna; Hintermayer, Martin - 2020
the impact of the recent reform on allowance prices. By including bounded rationality such as myopia or hedging …-ante in the decision making of the firms. Myopia and hedging requirements have little impact in the prereform market but … strongly drive market outcomes after the reform. In the post-reform market, hedging requirements in combination with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291879
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The risk-adjusted carbon price
Bremer, Ton S. van den; Ploeg, Frederick van der - 2019
sensitivity and damage rate hedging effects to deal with future economic and climatic and damage risks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996310
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Bank of England interest rate announcements and the foreign exchange market
Melvin, Michael; Saborowski, Christian; Sager, Michael; … - 2009
Since 1997, the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has met monthly to set the UK policy interest rate. We examine evidence of systematic patterns in exchange rate movements on MPC days over the first decade of operation of the MPC. Daily data reveal significant differences in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831967