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Modeling fluctuations in the global demand for commodities
Kilian, Lutz; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2017
It is widely understood that the real price of globally traded commodities is determined by the forces of demand and supply. One of the main determinants of the real price of commodities is shifts in the demand for commodities associated with unexpected fluctuations in global real economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754229
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A general theory of price and quantity aggregation and welfare measurement
Hillinger, Claude - 2002
The paper presents a general theory of the aggregation of prices and quantities that unifies the field and relates … topics that in the past have been treated separately and unsatisfactorily, or not at all. The theory does without the common … the theory lead to Törnqvist indexes defined on the appropriate data set. A numerical example confirms that in the non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514055
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Micro-geographic property price and rent indices
Ahlfeldt, Gabriel M.; Heblich, Stephan; Seidel, Tobias - 2021
We develop a programming algorithm that predicts a balanced-panel mix-adjusted house price index for arbitrary spatial units from repeated cross-sections of geocoded micro data. The algorithm combines parametric and non-parametric estimation techniques to provide a tight local fit where the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597680
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New characteristics and hedonic price index numbers
Crawford, Ian; Neary, J. Peter - 2019
Changes in product characteristics on the extensive margin are an important and hitherto neglected dimension of quality change. Standard techniques for quality-adjusting price indices cannot handle such changes satisfactorily, which leads to an economically and statistically significant bias in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011977187
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Efficient management of insecure fossil fuel Imports through taxing (!) domestic green energy?
Eichner, Thomas; Pethig, Rüdiger - 2010
A small open economy produces a consumer good, green and black energy, and imports fossil fuel at an uncertain price. Unregulated competitive markets are shown to be inefficient. The implied market failures are due to the agents' attitudes toward risk, to risk shifting and the uniform price for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969720
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An environmental-economic measure of sustainable development
Cairns, Robert D.; Martinet, Vincent - 2013
A central issue in the study of sustainable development is the interplay of growth and sacrifice in a dynamic economy. This paper investigates the relationship among current consumption, sacrifice, and sustainability improvement in a general context and in two canonical, stylized economies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009766680
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Towards a Macro-Prudential leading indicators framework for monitoring financial vulnerability
Bhattacharyay, Biswanath - 2003
The 1997 Asian financial crisis has revealed the limitations of the current state of monetary and financial monitoring system in most Asian countries in comprehensively addressing financial and monetary problems and issues. This paper attempts to propose a macro-prudential indicators (MPI)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509390
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Forecasting regional industrial production with high-frequency electricity consumption data
Lehmann, Robert; Möhrle, Sascha - 2022
In this paper, we study the predictive power of electricity consumption data for regional economic activity. Using unique weekly and monthly electricity consumption data for the second-largest German state, the Free State of Bavaria, we conduct a pseudo out-of-sample forecasting experiment for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362425
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Economics and nature : a long-neglected combination
Pettini, Anna - 2023
The intersection of Economics and Nature has long been overlooked, but recent events have shed new light on their interconnectedness. This paper explores this relationship, focusing on the impact of economic cycles and the role of GDP as a measure of economic success. The paper highlights the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014336451
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US disposable personal income and housing price index : a fractional integration analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2010
This paper examines the relationship between US disposable personal income (DPI) and house price index (HPI) during the last twenty years applying fractional integration and long-range dependence techniques to monthly data from January 1991 to July 2010. The empirical findings indicate that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008697849