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What is an optimal or a sustainable external debt - for a country, region or sector? How should one monitor and evaluate debt to preclude a crisis? We use stochastic optimal control/dynamic programming to derive an optimal debt. The deviation of the actual from the optimal will serve as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509487
In this paper we analyse debt stabilization in a monetary union that features endogenous risk premia. In particular, we analyse debt stabilization in two diametrically opposed regimes. In the first regime, the "national fiscal discipline regime", financial markets impose sovereign risk premia...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350136
This paper presents an empirical analysis of the efficiency of the UK debt management authorities's (DMA) behaviour from a cost minimisation perspective over the period January 1985 to March 1995. During this period, the maturity structure of the government's bond portfolio was subject to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781627
In the conventional literature related to investment decisions, less attention has been paid to the length of maturity when investment is debt-financed. In such a case a firm pays the creditor not only the sum of annual interest (initial investment cost multiplied by real interest rate) for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402695
A windfall of natural resource revenue (or foreign aid) faces government with choices of how to manage public debt, investment, and the distribution of funds for consumption, particularly if the windfall is both anticipated and temporary. We show that the permanent income hypothesis prescription...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003813611
I analyze how lack of commitment affects the maturity structure of sovereign debt. Governments balance benefits of default induced redistribution and costs due to income losses in the wake of a default. Their choice of short- versus long-term debt affects default and rollover decisions by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003803574
The price of a safe asset reflects not only the expected discounted future cash flows but also future service flows, since retrading allows partial insurance of idiosyncratic risk in an incomplete markets setting. This lowers the issuers’ interest burden and allows the government to run a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797027
We argue a holdout is not a destructive investor behaviour but a rational investment decision. This investment decision is characterised by the mean-variance approach. We investigate intercreditor conflict by diverse portfolio structure. We demonstrate that at some point during the Greek (2012)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343761
In this paper, we revisit the fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL) within the New Keynesian (NK) model. We show in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285610
applying insurance theory is useful. We model risk neutral agents choosing portfolios of government bonds of n countries in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010533082