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show that growth is higher if the debt to GDP ratio is below 60 % compared to values above it. Moreover, a comparison with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557773
This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt … for a universally applicable threshold effect in the relationship between public debt and economic growth, once we account … negative long-run effects of public debt build-up on output growth. Provided that public debt is on a downward trajectory, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011292965
For a sample of sixteen OECD countries over the period 1980-2007 we show that, for given debt-GDP ratio, an increase in … the maturity of the public debt by one year lowers its long-term interest rate by around 20-30 basis points. This effect … is stronger for countries with higher average inflation or debt. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010189835
This paper investigates the long-run effects of public debt and inflation on economic growth. Our contribution is both … over the 1965-2010 period, we find significant negative long-run effects of public debt and inflation on growth. Our … results indicate that, if the debt to GDP ratio is raised and this increase turns out to be permanent, then it will have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212372
We propose a theory of indebted demand, capturing the idea that large debt burdens by households and governments lower … accommodative monetary policy and deficit spending—generate a debt-financed short-run boom at the expense of indebted demand in the … future. When demand is sufficiently indebted, the economy gets stuck in a debt-driven liquidity trap, or debt trap. Escaping …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199991
recent subprime mortgage crisis. Why did the financial markets fail to anticipate the recent debt crisis, despite the large … capital gain, the return on capital and the interest rate. An optimal debt ratio is derived where the drift is probabilistic …, does not depend upon the actual debt/net worth per se. Instead it increases in proportion to the difference between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807893
leverage, the optimum and excessive risk and the probability of a debt crisis. The theoretically founded early warning signals … crisis ; optimal leverage and debt ratios ; Congressional Oversight Panel ; Case-Shiller index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936616
when investment is debt-financed. In such a case a firm pays the creditor not only the sum of annual interest (initial … the investment is debt-financed, the interest payment additionally reduces the corporate tax base. The research findings … optimum debt maturity tends to correlate positively with the corporate tax rate but negatively with the interest rate. In the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402695
This paper looks at intergenerational welfare effects of increased public debt when union power in pay bargaining … generates structural unemployment. Debt policy works through capital accumulation as well as the price of a fixed asset that is … owned by the old generation. Under a reasonable condition, the debt burden on future generations from postponement of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400853
The Croatian system of old-age provision comprises a traditional public pay-as-you-go scheme and a mandatory funded scheme ("second pillar") that will provide increasing amounts of supplementary pensions to those entering retirement in the future. Due to the continuing economic crisis, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011429587