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Non-linearities in the relation between the exchange rate and its fundamentals
Altavilla, Carlo (contributor); De Grauwe, Paul (contributor) - 2005
This paper investigates the relationship between the euro-dollar exchange rate and its underlying fundamentals. First, we develop a simple theoretical model in which chartists and fundamentalists interact. This model predicts the existence of different regimes, and thus nonlinearities in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003202226
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The impact of FX central bank intervention in a noise trading framework
Beine, Michel (contributor); De Grauwe, Paul (contributor);  … - 2005
In this paper we investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBI) in a noise trading model with chartists and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a mean reverting dynamics of the exchange rate towards a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003113337
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China's exchange rate impasse and the weak U.S. dollar
McKinnon, Ronald Ian (contributor);  … - 2008
excess liquidity reminiscent of the global inflation generated by the weak dollar in the 1970s. -- Inflation ; exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749649
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Exchange rate and inflation under weak monetary policy : turkey verifies theory
Gürkaynak, Refet S.; Kısacıkoğlu, Burçin; Lee, … - 2022
experiment of the past decade, stemming from a belief of the government that higher interest rates cause higher inflation … eventually a negative coefficient on inflation in the policy rule. In such an environment, was the exchange rate still a random … walk? Was inflation anchored? Does the "standard model" suffice to explain the broad contours of macroeconomic outcomes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201664
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Inflation and output dynamics in a model with labor market search and capital accumulation
Heer, Burkhard (contributor); Maußner, Alfred (contributor) - 2007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003498824
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Shocks to bank lending, risk-taking, securitization, and their role for US business cycle fluctuations
Peersman, Gert; Wagner, Wolf - 2014
type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a permanent rise in real GDP and a fall in inflation. Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257361
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Estimated general equilibrium models for the evaluation of monetary policy in the US and Europe
Leith, Campbell B.; Malley, James R. - 2002
of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) is that they fail to capture the extent of inflation inertia in the data. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409738
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Exchange-rate adjustment and macroeconomic interdependence between stagnant and fully employed countries
Ono, Yoshiyasu - 2014
This paper presents a two-country two-commodity dynamic model with free international asset trade in which one country achieves full employment and the other suffers long-run unemployment. Own and spill-over effects of changes in policy, technological and preference parameters that emerge...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010250169
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Selective attention in exchange rate forecasting
Kapounek, Svatopluk; Kučerová, Zuzana; Kočenda, Evžen - 2021
We analyze the exchange rate forecasting performance under the assumption of selective attention. Although currency markets react to a variety of different information, we hypothesize that market participants process only a limited amount of information. Our analysis includes more than 100,000...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012433963
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Can time-varying currency risk hedging explain exchange rates?
Bräuer, Leonie; Hau, Harald - 2022
Over the last decade foreign bond portfolio positions in US dollar assets have risen above the reciprocal US investor positions in foreign currencies. In periods of increased economic uncertainty, institutional investors hedge their international bond positions, which creates a net hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013440410